Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Antonio Brown
- Matthew Freedman is giving out his favorite prop bet of the day for all of 2019.
- We're compiling them here so you can keep up with every bet and track Freedman's record.
I had a great 2018 betting on props, thanks primarily to our FantasyLabs Tools, so for 2019 I will have a quick-n’-dirty daily piece in which I highlight one of my favorite props for the day.
Why Betting on Props Is Fun
In 2018, I bet on thousands of props across a variety of sports: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NASCAR, golf (PGA and European Tour) and eSports (League of Legends). I even placed bets on pop culture events, such as the Academy Awards, the Grammy Awards and Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.
Was I successful with all of them? No. And that’s why I almost never bet on any kind of prop related to darts anymore. Almost never.
But overall I had success last year, and I also had a lot of fun. There are many practical reasons why people should play props. But I honestly play them because they’re fun.
Before 2018, I knew very little about almost every sport outside of the NFL. Now, I still know almost nothing, but I know more than I did, and on a daily basis I enjoyed sweating the individual performances of many players across all sorts of sports.
I’m looking to keep the good times rolling in 2019.
What Tools I Use to Bet Props
Here are the research tools and articles I use to inform my prop-betting decisions.
The FantasyLabs Props Tools: These tools compare our industry-leading projections to the props available in the market and highlight which props offer the most value.
The FantasyLabs Models: Some sportsbooks offer fantasy point props, which I’ve bet successfully using the projections in our daily fantasy models.
The RotoViz Tools: I got my early start in the industry at RotoViz (as did FantasyLabs co-founder Jonathan Bales), and RotoViz has a great collection of NFL and NASCAR apps. Here are some of my favorites.
The Action Network Articles: Each day, you can find at least one props piece on The Action Network, most likely written by one of the following contributors.
- Matt LaMarca: NBA & MLB
- Justin Bailey: NFL & MLB
- Cort Smith (of Bet the Prop): NFL
- Nick Giffen (of RotoViz): NASCAR
Approximately 99% of the success I’ve had with prop bets is due to these resources. I suggest you consult them for yourself.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
18-11-3, +14.23 Units
- Golf: 2-2-1, +0.30 Units
- NFL: 5-5-0, +6.83 Units
- NBA: 6-2-0, +3.30 Units
- NHL: 5-1-2, +4.80 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units
Freedman’s Favorite 2019 Prop Bets:
- Tue., Jan. 1: Andre Drummond over 16.5 points – Loss
- Wed., Jan. 2: Ian Poulter over Charles Howell III – Loss
- Thu., Jan. 3: Ian Poulter over Brandt Snedeker – Win
- Fri., Jan. 4: Dylan Larkin over Ryan Johansen – Push
- Sat., Jan. 5: Deshaun Watson under 39.5 rushing yards – Loss
- Sun., Jan. 6: Ravens-Chargers over 3.5 field goals – Win
- Bonus: Ravens over 1.5 field goals – Loss
- Mon., Jan. 7: Hunter Renfrow over 4.0 receptions – Loss
- Tue., Jan. 8: Aaron Dell under 25.5 saves – Win
- Wed., Jan. 9: Collin Delia over 29.5 saves – Win
- Thu., Jan. 10: Andre Drummond over 14.5 rebounds – Loss
- Fri., Jan. 11: Sebastian Aho under 2.5 shots on goal – Win
- Sat., Jan. 12: Chiefs-Colts over/under 4.5 sacks – Win (Arbitrage)
- Sun., Jan. 13: Antonio Gates under 2.0 receptions – Loss
- Bonus: Dougie Hamilton under 3.0 shots on goal – Push
- Mon., Jan. 14: Royal baby gender is girl – Waiting
- Bonus: Kyler Murray NFL pass before MLB hit – Waiting
- Tue., Jan. 15: John Collins over 18.5 points – Win
- Wed., Jan. 16: Patrick Cantlay over Jon Rahm – Loss
- Bonus: Serge Ibaka over 7.5 rebounds – Win
- Thu., Jan. 17: Phil Mickelson over Aaron Wise – Win
- Fri., Jan. 18: Josh Bailey over Anders Lee – Win
- Bonus: Blake Griffin over 7.5 rebounds – Win
- Sat., Jan. 19: Artemi Panarin vs. Cam Atkinson – Win
- Bonus: James Harden over 60.5 fantasy points – Win
- Sun., Jan. 20: Mark Ingram under 49.5, over 41.5 – Win/Loss (Middle)
- Mon., Jan. 21: Upcoming