3 NBA Props for Monday: LeBron Over/Under 33.5 Points?

3 NBA Props for Monday: LeBron Over/Under 33.5 Points? article feature image

Rick Osentoski – USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LeBron James.

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Monday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals featuring the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET:

  • Jaylen Brown (Boston) over/under 5 rebounds
  • LeBron James (Cleveland) over/under 33.5 points
  • Terry Rozier (Boston) over/under 5 assists

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.


Jaylen Brown Over 5 Rebounds (-114)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

Brown is averaging 5.3 rebounds per game in this series, failing to record at least six for the first time in Game 3, when he was limited to only 21 minutes amidst a 30-point blowout loss. Brown is a good bet to make it back to six-plus-rebound territory if he plays his usual allotment of minutes, as he’s pulled down six boards or more in five of the past seven games in which he’s logged at least 28 minutes.

LeBron James Over 33.5 Points (-114)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

As we’ll almost surely be reminded about by either Mark Jackson or Jeff Van Gundy during ESPN’s telecast on Monday, we know LeBron’s work. The King is averaging 36.1 points per game at home in the playoffs, and he’s already met his quota of unaggressive games in this series, attempting only 16 shots in Game 1 and 12 in Game 3. In each of the other three games in which LeBron has attempted 17 shots or fewer during these playoffs, he’s come back the next game with at least 24 attempts — and at least 42 points.

Terry Rozier Under 5 Assists (-110)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

Rozier is averaging only 4.0 assists per game in the series and has been under this prop in two of the three games thus far. After dropping eight dimes in Game 1, Rozier has struggled to facilitate while being guarded by George Hill, attempting 14 field goals but dishing only three assists in 70 possessions. Muted assist totals have become a trend for Rozier since before this series began, though, and he’s now failed to record more than three assists in five of his past six games dating back to the Philadelphia series.

All lines accurate as of 1 a.m. ET on Monday, May 21.