NBA Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds (Monday, Jan. 6): Will the Jazz Stay Hot in NOLA?
Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: Donovan Mitchell (45) of the Utah Jazz.
This NBA season, I’m trying something new. I’m going to write a daily piece that highlights everything bettors and DFS players need to know for that night’s slate. For more on what to expect, read the inaugural piece.
Let’s dive into today’s slate and find some angles.
Note: For updates, see the chat at the bottom of this post.
- Overall: 156-123-2
- Spreads: 60-52-2
- Totals: 47-43
- Moneylines: 14-6
- Props: 29-22
Odds as of Monday afternoon and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Betting Odds and Analysis
- 7 p.m. ET: Boston Celtics (-8.5) at Washington Wizards, 225.5
- 7 p.m. ET: Brooklyn Nets at Orlando Magic (-4.5), 212
- 7 p.m. ET: Indiana Pacers (-4.5) at Charlotte Hornets, 208.5
- 7 p.m. ET: OKC Thunder at Philadelphia 76ers (-7.5), 212.5
- 7:30 p.m. ET: Denver Nuggets (-8.5) at Atlanta Hawks, 223
- 8 p.m. ET: Utah Jazz (-3.5) at New Orleans Pelicans, 221.5
- 8:30 p.m. ET: Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks (-10), 217
- 8:30 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5) at San Antonio Spurs, 228
- 10 p.m. ET: Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings (-10.5), 215
Let’s run through a couple angles I’m eyeing.
Nuggets at Hawks
The Nuggets have been truly terrible defensively of late, ranking dead last in efficiency (119.8 points/100 allowed) over the past two weeks. The offense has been awesome, ranking second, and yet they’ve still posted a negative point differential because of that defensive unit.
Scarily, you can’t really blame it on luck, as is often the case with highs and lows throughout the season. In that same time period, opponents aren’t shooting way above expected on open or wide-open shots. The issue has been rim protection — against the undermanned Wizards on Saturday, the Wizards shot 90.0% at the rim.