Freedman’s Favorite NBA Draft Prop: Zion Williamson Will Be the No. 1 Pick

Freedman’s Favorite NBA Draft Prop: Zion Williamson Will Be the No. 1 Pick article feature image

Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zion Williamson

  • The 2019 NBA Draft will be held on June 20 at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.
  • Matthew Freedman breaks down the draft position prop for Duke forward Zion Williamson.

The 2019 NBA Draft is scheduled for June 20 at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

This is the first year that the NBA will use a new weighted lottery system, which will give the four highest-slotted teams a shot at the No. 1 overall pick.

But regardless of whichever team wins the lottery, it seems highly likely that Duke forward Zion Williamson will be the first player selected in the draft.

Here’s Zion Williamson’s draft position prop as well as my analysis.

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Zion Williamson: No. 1 Overall Pick in 2019 NBA Draft? 

  • Yes: -1000
  • No: +500

I’ve made exactly one college basketball prop bet this year: Zion Williamson over 23.5 points against North Carolina.

Given that Williamson’s shoe exploded less than a minute into the game, that bet didn’t work out.

But I’m investing in Zion once again.

Zion is a once-in-a-decade prospect. He’s already a star. People watch and go to basketball games just to see him. The Zion Effect is real.

And literally every mock draft I’ve seen has him as the No. 1 overall pick.

With -1000 odds, he has a 90.9% implied probability to be drafted with the top top pick, but the true odds are probably closer to 98%.

The only way he won’t be drafted No. 1 overall is if over the next few months he suffers a horrible injury or is revealed to be a horrendous criminal. And even then, he still might be the first pick.

I’d bet “Yes” all the way to -2000.

The Pick: Yes (-1000)

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.

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