NBA Player Prop Bets & Picks: Is Stephen Curry Primed for a Breakout Game? (Sunday, Dec. 27)
Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors.
Sunday brings another full NBA slate, with 10 games on the schedule, including an early matchup out West.
With value across the board today, Sunday’s props feature one points prop, one assist prop and one rebound prop from three teams looking to get into the win column early in the season.
For those who are new to this article, we’ll be using the FantasyLabs NBA Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Each bet is then graded on a scale from 1-10, with 10 being the best possible grade.
NBA Player Props & Picks
Dorian Finney-Smith, Over 5.5 Rebounds (+100)
|Mavericks at Clippers||Clippers -5|
|Time||3:30 p.m. ET|
This prop is interesting because the Mavericks are the worst rebounding team in the NBA by a significant margin. But someone has to grab those boards, right? Luka Doncic will be in the mix, but he’ll also have much of the offensive load to carry against the Los Angeles Clippers.
Dorian Finney-Smith was a beast on the boards in the Mavs’ season opener against the Suns, an average rebounding team, and was basically shut out against the Lakers, an elite rebounding team. The Clippers are closer to the Suns in terms of rebounding rate and Finney-Smith is the Mavericks’ best non-big rebounder.
Our Action Labs Insiders tool projects Finney-Smith to play 33.2 minutes, grab 7.1 rebounds and rates this prop as a 10 out of 10.
BetMGM has the best line for this prop at +100, so I’m betting Finney-Smith to be the high-energy, 3-and-D presence that Doncic needs in the lineup with him to thrive.
Stephen Curry, Over 25.5 Points (-110)
|Warriors at Bulls||Warriors -3.5|
|Time||8 p.m. ET|
It has been a rough start to the season for Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors. Curry’s hand injury meant he was able to avoid being on the floor for the 20-point blowouts that became a regular occurrence for the Dubs last season. But there’s been nowhere to hide for the former unanimous MVP this season.
In fairness, road matchups against the Brooklyn Nets and the Milwaukee Bucks out the gate aren’t exactly cakewalk games for a returning star to get his rhythm back, but with the Chicago Bulls on the schedule Sunday, there’s much more hope for Curry to get back to his former self. The Bulls are allowing 116.9 points per 100 possessions through two games (23rd in the NBA).
Draymond Green’s pending return would give Curry some much-needed help. Curry has been forced to create much more for himself through two games — 69.2% of his field goals have been unassisted so far this season compared to 41% in his last full season.
Green’s familiarity with Curry and the offense combined with his skills as a playmaker should free Curry up to get better looks on offense.
Our Action Labs Props tool rates this an 8 out of 10 and projects Curry to score 28.3 points tonight.
Coby White, Over 4.5 assists (+115)
Same game, different team.
Through two games this season, Coby White leads the Bulls in touches per game (73.5) and passes per game (55). He’s second on the team in minutes per game (27.7) and assists per game (5.0).
His teammates are shooting just 38% off his passes so far, but a matchup with the Warriors should help the Bulls’ offensive output. The Warriors have allowed the second-most wide open field goal attempts in the league so far, according to NBA Advanced Stats.
White just needs to get to his season average to go over; our prop tool projects him for 5.2 assists and rates this prop as a 9 out of 10. At plus money, this is a worthwhile bet in what should be a free flowing offensive game.