Tuesday’s College Basketball Betting: N.C. State-UNC, Florida State-Syracuse


Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Nassir Little

Feb 05, 2019, 05:50 PM EST

The NFL season has wrapped up, so college basketball should be on everyone’s minds with March Madness just 44 days away.

To propel the transition, nine ranked teams are in action on Tuesday’s slate, including No. 8 North Carolina facing in-state rival N.C. State and No. 22 Florida State traveling to Syracuse. Which ACC teams delivers more value? Let’s break down the matchups.

>> All odds as of Monday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NCAAB odds and track your bets.

Betting Odds: N.C. State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels

  • Spread: UNC -11
  • Over/Under: 163
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ACC Network

Not only have the Wolfpack (13-9 against the spread) failed to cover in three of their past past four games, but they were also crushed by Virginia Tech in a 47-24 outright loss on Saturday. The Tar Heels (13-6-2 ATS) have notched four consecutive covers.

Kevin Keatts’ bunch failed to cover vs. UNC in an eight-point defeat on Jan. 8, but it forced North Carolina into 23 turnovers. Roy Williams’ unit is struggling in that area despite its 11th-rated Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (118.8 points per 100 possessions), totaling the fifth-highest turnover rate (18.9%) in ACC play. Tar Heels point guard Coby White owns a 21.1% turnover percentage, too.

Expect the Wolfpack’s ball pressure to stymie UNC’s attack while generating opportunities for the 33rd-highest Adjusted Tempo (72.2 possessions per 40 minutes) in Division I. Buying low on an offensive bounce-back makes for intriguing play, especially against a program that’s let up the eighth-highest 3-point clip (33.8%) amid its conference slate.

Moreover, North Carolina’s opponents have totaled the 84th-highest scoring percentage (34.8%) from that vicinity. N.C. State’s 2 of 28 shooting performance vs. Virginia Tech hampered its perimeter standing, but it’s still amassed the 84th-highest 3-point percentage (36.1%) in the nation overall.

Look for CJ Bryce (39.1%), who posts 12 points per game, to rediscover his stroke after going 0 of 9 from behind the arc against the Hokies.

According to our Bet Labs data, the Wolfpack are 10-7 (58.8%) ATS as an underdog since last regular season, and they’re in a sound position to cover in this rematch.

THE PICK: N.C. State +11

Betting Odds: Florida State Seminoles at Syracuse Orange

  • Spread: Syracuse -2.5
  • Over/Under: 137.5
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ACC Network

Get the EDGE

Unlock The Action EDGE

Get our Syracuse-FSU pick

Get the EDGE
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Eli Hershkovich on Twitter