Friday College Basketball Betting Data: Heavy Contrarian Money on Ivy League Games

Feb 22, 2019 6:56 PM EST
Credit:

Timothy J. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chris Knight

Bettors aren’t taking Friday night off in college basketball, despite a small slate. And some heavy contrarian money has come down on some Ivy League underdogs.

We’ll examine The Action Network’s market data to see whether there are any profitable contrarian opportunities, betting system matches and more below.

First, a primer on what this piece offers:

  • A quick snapshot into the many betting tools The Action Network has to offer.
  • A good place to start when navigating a large college basketball slate.

It is not …

  • An endorsement to blindly bet any of these games.

All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers).

Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.

Most Public Bets

As of 3:30 p.m. ET. Minimum 1,000 bets.

  1. Bowling Green -4.5 (88%) at Ohio
  2. Davidson -1 (81%) at Rhode Island
  3. Iowa -7.5 (79%) vs. Indiana
  4. Harvard -2.5 (78%) at Brown
  5. Yale -9.5 (64%) vs. Dartmouth

Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies

We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.

Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Friday as of 3:30 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tip offs (Minimum 1,000 bets).

Columbia +7.5 at Penn

  • 8 p.m. ET
  • 40% of tickets, 80% of money
  • 40% difference
  • Line move: Columbia +9.5 to +7.5

Dartmouth +9.5 at Yale

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 36% of tickets, 66% of money
  • 30% difference
  • Line move: Dartmouth +10.5 to +9.5

Princeton -7 vs. Cornell

  • 8 p.m. ET
  • 61% of tickets, 80% of money
  • 19% difference
  • Line move: Princeton -6.5 to -7

EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.

Bet Labs Pro Trend

Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, there are 12 games that fit PRO and profitable user-generated systems, including this one:

Fade Good Teams After a Loss

The game that matched this system on Thursday night cashed when Western Carolina lost in overtime as a 17-point underdog at UNC Greensboro.

Tonight, it applies again to Indiana +7.5 at Iowa.

The premise of this system is that good teams coming off a straight-up are overvalued because the public assumes they’ll just bounceback in their next game.The Hawkeyes lost to Maryland on Tuesday.

Indiana, however, has won just two games in 2019 and has lost four straight. Here are the full parameters of the system:

You can create your own betting systems, and get access to all our PRO systems, by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.


Sharp Money Indicators

Each day, we’ll highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.

The public is all over Yale on Friday night, but Dartmouth is triggering some sharp indicators. The Big Green have lost three of four, but the losses came by a total of seven points.

EDGE subscribers can get full access to our sharp report page here.

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