National Championship Odds: Ohio State Takes a Hit Despite Win

National Championship Odds: Ohio State Takes a Hit Despite Win article feature image
Credit:

Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Urban Meyer

  • There weren't many major changes in college football National Championship odds from Week 12.
  • Among the few teams that saw a significant change was Ohio State, which fell from +1800 to +2500 despite earning a win on Saturday.

Folks, we’re almost there. Only one week remains in the 2018 college football regular season, and with each passing week, the list of teams with a chance at this year’s national championship continues to shrink.

There weren’t many odds changes following Week 12. The top of the list remained nearly identical, but further down a few teams saw some significant shifts.

Below are the latest odds at Westgate Superbook.

Table defaults to preseason rankings. Click on a date to sort.

Risers

Oklahoma: +3000 to +2000 (3.23% to 4.76% implied probability)

Week 12 vs. Kansas: Won 55-40

As a 35-point favorite on Saturday, a win was to be expected for Oklahoma in Week 12.

Its odds jump, therefore, was a result of West Virginia’s loss to Oklahoma State, leaving the Sooners as the only one-loss team remaining in the Big 12.

Fallers

Ohio State: +1800 to +2500 (5.26% to 3.85% implied probability)

Week 12 @ Maryland: Won 52-51

If the committee stays true to its claim that it’ll be choosing the best four teams in college football, Ohio State is going to need a lot of help.

Over the past four weeks, the Buckeyes have certainly not looked dominant, winning by double digits only once.

OSU is also a 3.5-point underdog this weekend against Michigan, ending its 51-game streak as a favorite.

West Virginia: +10000 to +100000 (0.99% to 0.10% implied probability)

Week 12 @ Oklahoma State: Lost 45-41

Listed at 100-1 last week, the Mountaineers were already going to need some magic to make this year’s playoff. After dropping this weekend’s game in Stillwater, West Virginia’s season has essentially come to an end.

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