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South Florida-Tulsa Bet to Watch: Is This Line Way Off?

Oct 12, 2018 4:10 PM EDT

South Florida-Tulsa Betting Odds, Pick

  • Odds: South Florida -7
  • Over/Under: 61
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET, Friday
  • TV: ESPN

Fresh off a near-disastrous non-cover against Houston, Tulsa plays another weeknight game against a top-tier AAC team. This time, it’s South Florida.

The line opened USF -7.5 and has stayed around that number, dropping down to -7 earlier in the week before coming back to -7.5 at some books.


>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.


Key Matchup: USF D-Line vs. Tulsa O-Line

Tulsa was supposed to revitalize its offense under former Baylor assistant Phillip Montgomery, but it just hasn’t happened. The Golden Hurricane rank 118th of 130 FBS teams in yards per play (4.79), and 107th in offensive S&P+.

A big problem is protecting the quarterback — Tulsa allows sacks on more than 11% of its dropbacks, among the worst in FBS.

South Florida has 3.2 sacks per game, good for 14th in the country, and a sack rate of more than 9%. That ranks 18th.

Freshman quarterback Seth Boomer is expected to start for Tulsa again this week, and will have trouble moving the ball like he did against Houston.

Bet to Watch for South Florida-Tulsa

On what will be a relatively quiet Thursday and Friday night for me, it was nice to see one game where my numbers were nowhere close to the market.

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Credit:

Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Charlie Strong

Follow Ken Barkley on Twitter
@LockyLockerson

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OPEN
CURR
# BETS
59
-4
59
-3.5
64.5
-11
66.5
-9
52
-3
52
-4
48
PK
47.5
+1
50.5
-7.5
50.5
-7
-2.5
44
-2.5
43.5
55
-4.5
54
-3
-3
54.5
-2.5
55.5
-6
66.5
-5.5
68.5
48
-11
48.5
-12
-2.5
73
-5
74
67.5
-5
67
-3
-3
53.5
-2.5
53.5
-1.5
57.5
-1
60
55
-3.5
55
-3
61
-3.5
60.5
-3.5
41
-2
40.5
PK
56.5
-3
55.5
-3.5
-3
47
-4
47
-6.5
55
-3.5
55.5
54.5
-5
54.5
-3.5
-7
74
-1.5
68.5
54.5
-6.5
54.5
-3.5
50.5
-6
50.5
-7.5
-6.5
55
-4
54.5
-2
58.5
-1.5
60.5
56
-11
55
-12
79
-13.5
81.5
-14
-6.5
53.5
-5
53.5
-6.5
52
-6.5
52
48
-1.5
48
-3
-10
71
-8
74
45
-6.5
46.5
-7
58.5
-4.5
58.5
-4.5
-5
44.5
-7
44.5
-8
54.5
-8
55.5
48
-4
47.5
-6.5
58.5
-5
58
-6.5
58
-10.5
58
-11.5

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