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Texas Tech-TCU Betting Preview: Will Patterson & Co. Slow Red Raiders Again?

Oct 11, 2018 12:00 AM EDT

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Gary Patterson and Kliff Kingsbury

Texas Tech-TCU Betting Preview

  • Odds: TCU -7
  • Over/Under: 61
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET, Thursday
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of 8 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.

Gary Patterson might just have some secrets for slowing down Texas Tech’s offense.

Since TCU joined the Big 12, it has allowed a 56.6 completion percentage and only 6.8 yards per pass attempt to the Red Raiders. Against the rest of the conference? Texas Tech has completed 63.7% of passes at 7.55 yards per attempt.

Heck, even Patrick Mahomes threw for just 206 yards against TCU in his final season, a week after he hung 734 (!) passing yards on Oklahoma.

Will this continue on Thursday? Let’s dive in.

TCU-Texas Tech Betting Trends

Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury is 6-1 ATS with at least 10 days between games. Gary Patterson is 9-4 ATS in that same spot, but has lost his last three. Both teams last played Sept. 29.

Texas Tech has played four games with a total lower than 61 in the last four seasons, and all four have gone under by an average margin of 10.8 points per game.

Tech has been held under 28 points just 15 times since 2013, and four of those were against TCU.

Inside Coaching Knowledge?

Is Sonny Cumbie TCU’s secret weapon? Since he arrived in Fort Worth, TCU’s defense has shut down Texas Tech, save for 2015.

The Horned Frog’s co-offensive coordinator played quarterback at Texas Tech and took over the starting job when Kingsbury graduated. He coached at Tech for five years, including one as Kingsbury’s offensive coordinator.

There may not be anyone better prepared to help Patterson scheme for the Red Raiders’ aerial assault than Cumbie, even though he’s not a defensive coach.

Texas Tech has averaged 5.4 yards per play (quite low by its standards) and 27.5 points per game against TCU since Cumbie joined the Frogs staff.



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