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ATL @ MIL

11:40 pm • BSWI

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Freddy Peralta logoF. PeraltaMilwaukee Brewers logo4.392-1
Ian Anderson logoI. AndersonAtlanta Braves logo4.203-1

Braves vs. Brewers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
16-18
+1.5
+1.5-157
o7.5-115
+138
Brewers
21-13
u8
-1.5+131
u7.5-105
-163
location pinMonday 11:40 p.m.
May 16, 2022
Miller ParkMilwaukee
thermometer image70°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image13Wind

Braves vs. Brewers Game Analysis

Braves vs. Brewers Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Omar Narvaez has a miss rate of 49% on outside fastballs this season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 48 total PA's -- second Percentile. Ian Anderson has located his fastball away 53% of the time this season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP -- 91st Percentile.
Dansby Swanson has a miss rate of 48% on outside fastballs this season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 48 total PA's -- second Percentile. Freddy Peralta has located his fastball away 53% of the time this season -- tied for 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP -- 90th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Freddy Peralta has located his pitches away 58% of the time (72/123) when behind in the count this season -- 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 95th Percentile.
Ian Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (19 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .286 -- third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .204 (58-for-284) against Ian Anderson since the start of last season -- 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .238 -- 89th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 44% (16 SO in 36 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

Best MLB Betting Sites

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Braves vs. Brewers Expert Picks

ATL
MIL
ATL ML
2
MIL ML
1
Over
1
Under
0

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

20 props
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RBI

19 props
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HR

20 props
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Singles

19 props
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Doubles

20 props
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Pitching Outs

1 prop
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 15th@MIAW 7-3-1.5 WO 7.5MIL -178
May 14th@MIAL 3-9-1.5 LO 7MIA -121
May 13th@MIAW 2-1-1.5 LU 6.5MIL -144
May 11th@CINL 11-14-1.5 LO 9.5CIN -200
May 10th@CINW 5-4-1.5 LO 8.5MIL -210

Braves vs. Brewers Public Betting

30%

Bets%

70%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
16-1810-46-1414-152-3
Braves
14-207-137-78-156-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Brewers
16-16-27-79-9-215-13-11-3-1
Braves
19-13-212-6-27-714-7-25-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
21-1310-411-919-102-3
Braves
16-1810-106-811-125-5

Brewers vs. Braves Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Andrew McCutchen

    OF

    Andrew McCutchen placed on COVID IL

    Out

  • Pedro Severino

    C

    Severino is out with suspension

    Out

  • Trevor Gott

    P

    Gott is day-to-day with quad

    Day-to-Day

  • Justin Topa

    P

    Topa is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jake Cousins

    P

    Cousins is out with elbow

    Out

Braves Injuries

  • Kirby Yates

    P

    Yates is out with elbow

    Out

  • Eddie Rosario

    OF

    Rosario is out with eye

    Out

  • Luke Jackson

    P

    Jackson is out with arm

    Out

  • Manny Piña

    C

    Manny Pina (wrist) placed on 10-day IL

    Out Indefinitely

  • Mike Soroka

    P

    Soroka is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jay Jackson

    P

    Jackson is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Brooks Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with undisclosed

    Out

Braves vs. Brewers Starting Lineups

Braves Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
RI. Anderson, P
3-14.201.4006.60
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
1T. Demeritte, RF
.327.387.5273
2M. Olson, 1B
.262.373.4684
3A. Riley, 3B
.254.347.4927
4M. Ozuna, LF
.205.246.3565
5T. d'Arnaud, C
.269.299.4303
6O. Albies, 2B
.239.295.4186
7A. Duvall, CF
.200.266.3042
8D. Swanson, SS
.228.299.3863
9O. Arcia, DH
.355.432.5161
Brewers Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
RF. Peralta, P
2-14.391.25611.93
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
1K. Wong, 2B
.243.306.3932
2L. Urías, SS
.278.409.4722
3C. Yelich, DH
.258.350.4675
4R. Tellez, 1B
.239.295.5047
5H. Renfroe, RF
.237.272.5089
6O. Narváez, C
.254.367.4032
7T. Taylor, LF
.229.270.3711
8J. Peterson, 3B
.221.321.3532
9L. Cain, CF
.183.244.2200

Line Move Data

TimeATL lineMIL line
05/16/2022, 10:08 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +131
05/16/2022, 9:36 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +132
05/16/2022, 9:35 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +133
05/16/2022, 9:35 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +132
05/16/2022, 9:30 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +133
05/16/2022, 9:22 PM +1.5 -155-1.5 +133
05/16/2022, 9:05 PM +1.5 -155-1.5 +135
05/16/2022, 8:59 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +135
05/16/2022, 8:53 PM +1.5 -155-1.5 +135
05/16/2022, 8:52 PM +1.5 -157-1.5 +135

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
ATL
MIL
Consensus
+138
-163
Open
+115
-135
Best Line

Braves vs. Brewers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Braves
16-18
o3-130
u3-100
Brewers
21-13
o4-120
u4-110