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3 NBA Props for Monday: Ariza Over/Under 9.5 Points?

May 14, 2018 4:49 PM EDT

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Monday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals featuring the Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets beginning at 9 p.m. ET:

  • P.J. Tucker (Houston) over/under 9.5 points
  • Trevor Ariza (Houston) over/under 9.5 points
  • Draymond Green (Golden State) over/under 12.5 points

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player  tool.


P.J. Tucker Over 9.5 Points (-120)

9 p.m. ET | TNT

After topping 25 minutes in only one of his first four playoff games, Tucker has logged at least 33 in five of his past six games, scoring 11 or more points in four of them. Much more so than Utah in the last round, matching up with Golden State demands strong wing defenders like Tucker who can also space the floor on the end, so his minutes are likely to remain in the 30s throughout this series as well. He scored 32 points in 71 minutes in three games against Golden State during the regular season, a rate which would require only 24.4 minutes for him to reach double figures.

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