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Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds & Pick: Model Projection Reveals Big Betting Edge (Monday, Dec. 28)

Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds & Pick: Model Projection Reveals Big Betting Edge (Monday, Dec. 28) article feature image

Carmen Mandato/Getty Images. Pictured: Christian Wood

  • While most sports fans and bettors will be focused on Bills vs. Patriots, it's actually Rockets vs. Nuggets offering the biggest edge of Monday night.
  • Using our NBA PRO Projections, Danny Donahue details the NBA side offering so much value tonight.

NBA Odds: Rockets vs. Nuggets

Rockets Odds +6.5
Nuggets Odds -6.5
Over/Under 222.5
PRO Projection DEN -4.4
Time 9 p.m. ET
TV SportsNet SW

The NBA might not move the betting needle quite as much as a Monday Night Football matchup, but that certainly doesn’t mean it can’t compete in the value department.

And while Bills-Patriots is offering a valuable bet tonight (per our NFL model), the biggest betting edge across the multi-sport slate comes by way of tonight’s Rockets-Nuggets matchup.

Let’s take a look.

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Ohio State-Clemson grade: A-

Bills-Patriots grade: B

Oklahoma State-Miami grade: A+

NBA Pick: Rockets vs. Nuggets

An opening spread of Denver -9 has already come down rather considerably to -6.5, and even following that move, our model suggests there’s more room to go.

We’re projecting the true spread for this game at Denver -4.4, which gives the Rockets more than two points’ worth of value at the current number, and earns them an A- value grade — the highest on tonight’s slate.

It should also be noted that some books are still hanging onto the +7 line (as of writing, at least), so be sure — as always — to shop around for the best number before punching in your bet.

PRO Projection edge: Rockets +6.5

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