Nevada-Utah State Betting Guide: Will Raucous Environment or Experience Win Out?

Nevada-Utah State Betting Guide: Will Raucous Environment or Experience Win Out? article feature image
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USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cody Martin and Sam Merrill

Nevada at Utah State Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nevada -1.5
  • Over/Under: 143.5
  • Time: 8:30 p.m.
  • TV: CBS Sports Network

>> All odds as of 6 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.


It may not be the most on-the-radar game Saturday, but there may not be one in the country with bigger stakes for the teams than Utah State and Nevada.

Which top-40 team will prevail? Our analysts break it all down.

Market Moves

While the spread has remained at Nevada -1.5 since open, the total has jumped up two points to 143.5, reaching as high as 144.5.

As of Saturday morning, Nevada is getting 70% of the bets but just half the money wagered. — Steve Petrella

Trends to Know

Eric Musselman has been the head coach at Nevada for four seasons. In that time, his most profitable opponent against the spread has been Utah State, with Nevada going 7-1 straight up and against the spread, profiting bettors 5.7 units. — Evan Abrams

Nevada is 26-2 straight up this season entering maybe its toughest test of the year on the road against Utah State, but the Wolf Pack have actually dropped three consecutive games against the spread.

Since 2005, teams in March or later with a winning percentage of 90% or higher that have lost at least three consecutive games against the spread are 12-6-1 (66.7%) ATS, with seven consecutive teams in this spot winning straight up. — Evan Abrams

When Nevada Has the Ball

There’s no doubt this matchup should be much closer than the Wolf Pack’s 23-point thrashing of the Aggies on Jan. 2, especially with the road squad unlikely to generate as many fastbreak opportunities. Nevertheless, Eric Musselman’s Nevada team boasts a couple advantages.

Although Nevada’s perimeter offense wasn’t successful in the first meeting (7 of 29), it has still generated the fourth-most 3-point attempts per game in Mountain West play. Not only has Utah State yielded the highest 3-point clip (39.1%) in its league slate because of its pack-line defense, but it’s also allowed the second-highest scoring rate (40.6%) from that vicinity.

The Wolf Pack own a 39.5% 3-point clip over their past three games, and the 6-foot-7 Caleb Martin (19.4 points per game) is starting to heat up. Unless Nevada produces another abysmal first-half clunker, it’ll establish its perimeter offense before getting into the lane, where it has notched the 26th-highest free-throw rate (40.5%) in Division I.

The Aggies have let up an above-average free-throw rate, and the Wolf Pack got 20 attempts at the line in their last go-around. — Eli Hershkovich

When Utah State Has the Ball

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