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Ohio State vs. Penn State Odds, Picks, Betting Predictions: Are Buckeyes Overvalued?


Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images. Pictured: Lamar Stevens

Ohio State at Penn State Odds

  • Odds: Ohio State -2
  • Total: 137.5
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • Location: State College, Pa.

[In New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana or West Virginia? Bet Penn State vs. Ohio State now at FanDuel]

About a month ago, Ohio State rolled Penn State by 32 points in Columbus. But we have to take a closer look at how that game got so out of hand.

Penn State trailed by nine in the second half when star Lamar Stevens fouled out after playing only 18 minutes. Big man Mike Watkins was also in foul trouble and played just 17 minutes.

The Nittany Lions have dropped three straight games after a stellar start to the season, so can they regain their form at home on Saturday? Let’s dive in.

How Odds Have Moved

Betting action is almost dead-even on this game with Penn State getting 51% of the bets and 56% of the money.

Early money did come in on Ohio State, moving the Buckeyes from -1 to -2, but some books have moved the Nittany Lions back to +1.5.

There are varying opinions from books on this total as of Saturday morning, with SugarHouse and DraftKings at 137 and bet365 at 138.5.

When PSU Has the Ball

Penn State will be seeking revenge after a 106-74 loss on Dec. 7 in Columbus. The Buckeyes were on fire in that game, scoring 46 in the first half with more than a 95% chance to win by halftime. Ohio State doubled Penn State in defensive rebounds, making the glass priority No. 1 for the Nittany Lions on Saturday.

Penn State ranks 276th in shooting percentage from beyond the arc, an area Ohio State has trouble defending, so those struggles should be neutralized for both teams.

In three straight losses, Penn State has shot 30% or less against teams with similar perimeter defense to the Buckeyes.

Look for PSU freshman Seth Lundy to continue putting up shots after getting a career-high 26 minutes and hitting 3 of 6 tries from 3-point range in a loss to Minnesota on Wednesday. He’s shooting 41% from long range this season. — Collin Wilson

When Ohio State Has the Ball

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