Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Bill Snyder
Kansas State 2018 Betting Odds
- To win the National Title: +40000
- To win the Big 12: +3000
- To reach Big 12 title game: +925
- To make Playoff: Yes +5000, No -15500
- To play in NY6 Bowl: Yes +900, No -1850
- Win Total: 6.5 (over -135, under +115)
All lines taken from 5Dimes on Aug 2. Always shop for the best line.
Kansas State 2018 Schedule, Betting Odds
The Action Network Projected Wins: 4.8
Bet To Watch
Kansas State Under 6.5 (+115)
I wrote earlier in the season about my love for Kansas State’s under, and nothing has changed my opinion. This could be a bumpy road for Bill Snyder and crew. The Wildcats rank 107th defensively in returning production and the defense had issues in 2017, ranking 78th in S&P+, but specifically 114th against passing success rate.
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Two new coordinators are in place, and both have their work cut out for them. The defensive front seven is new and inexperienced, while the offense could be led by multiple quarterbacks. The one stable factor is the offensive line, but the receiving targets and running backs will all be fresh faces.
There is little to no experience with players on both sides of the ball, emulating the coordinator hires. Andre Coleman takes over as offensive coordinator after serving as the wide receivers coach since 2013. This will be the first time Coleman has called plays. Defensive coordinator Blake Seiler is similarly inexperienced; Seiler was previously the linebackers coach, and has never called the plays for a defense.
Given the first-time coordinators, a fresh defensive front and questions across all the skill positions on offense — a formula for losses — Kansas State under 6.5 wins (+115) is the play. The schedule also offers just four conference home games, making this potentially a long year for Wildcat faithful.
What else you need to know about Kansas State
While Kansas State is establishing new coordinators and starters on both sides, Mississippi State has a new coach of its own in Joe Moorhead. The Bulldogs (who face Kansas State on Sept. 8) rank eighth in returning production, however, including the return of dual-threat quarterback Nick Fitzgerald.
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The Action Network projections make this game 12.5, while S&P+ calls for 11. 5Dimes currently offers this game of the year at Mississippi State -3, while Westgate has Mississippi State -2.5. The Bulldogs are expected to be an SEC stronghold with a chance for double-digit wins, and this presents a great opportunity to invest against Kansas State.