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Collin Wilson's Picks
Today
Pending
LT +7.5-110
WKU
@
LT
1.1u
10/06 12:00 AM
Project WKU -1; La Tech defense 11th in coverage and 6th in defensive passing success rate against a pass happy WKU offense
159
Under 60.5-110
WKU
@LT
1.1u
10/06 12:00 AM
Project 52; 50% precip forecasted for Shreveport. LaTech defense capable against the pass
141
Over 48.5-110
BAMA
@
TA&M
1.1u
10/07 7:30 PM
Project 55; Huge Havoc advantage for TAMU, Aggies Poot tacking and broken rate v Milroe ground game. Bama defense Poor in Stuff Rate and passing downs explosives
150
UCF +3+100
UCF
@
KU
1u
10/07 8:00 PM
Project Kansas -1.5 (w Daniels); Plumlee to resume full practice this week, Kansas heavy defensive struggles stopping the rush. Poor ranks in Quality Drives; 129th finishing drives. Jalon Daniels was scratched w a back injury v Texas
143
TTU +1.5-110
TTU
@
BAY
1.1u
10/08 12:00 AM
Project TTU -2; Heavy advantages for Red Raiders offense on the ground and in scoring position/RZ
162
ORST -9-110
ORST
@
CAL
1.1u
10/08 2:00 AM
Project Oregon State -11; huge finishing drives advantage both sides of the all, Cal just inside top 50 rush defense v Beavers. Cal more successful rush offense, Finley injured Week 5. Oregon State 2nd defensive line yards
160
Futures
2023-24 NCAAF Championship - To Win+3000
2023-24 NCAAF Championship - To Win
1u
2024NationalTitle Clemson: Addition of Garrett Riley changes the offense for Klubnik/Shipley. Return 4 OL. Williams and Collins to return at WR. Clemson will be favored in every regular season game
36
2023-24 NCAAF Championship - To Win+2500
2023-24 NCAAF Championship - To Win
1u
From Action Network writeup post UGA/TCU National Title game (LSU)
46
Ronald Acuña Jr.+1400
2023 MLB National League MVP
1u
From Action MLB preview
11
New York Giants+2600
2023 NFL NFC Conference - To Win
1u
Umber too good to pass up at Circa Sports. Expect Giants to return to the playoff picture with Daniel Jones and can chip away at number. In Daboll we trust
14
Florida Gators+25000
2023-24 NCAAB Championship - To Win
1u
Shop around, next best number is 200/1 at Westgate. Top team from portal rankings per EvanMiya. 100/1 at most shops
9
Gonzaga Bulldogs+3500
2023-24 NCAAB Championship - To Win
2u
Ike commits through the portal, Nembhart expected to decide between Zona and Zags. Number at Circa
9
Cleveland Guardians (No)-118
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
2.36u
Fangraphs projects a sub-.500 record and a 27% chance to make the playoffs, true value based on FG is -270 to miss the playoffs
9
Pittsburgh Pirates (Yes)+330
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1u
Fangraphs putting Pirates at 33% to make the playoffs, true odds of +200. Currently the highest run differential in National League
19
Texas Longhorns+150
2023 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
5u
Debated w Win Total of 9.5, project 10.1. This future takes out the Alabama game (very winnable). By far the best talent in the conference, Ewers electric in Spring game and now has additional weapons. Leave the State of Texas just twice. In Coach Sark we Trust
73
Auburn Tigers o6.5+105
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 9; highest offensive TARP in the conference, 72% on defense. Transfer of Thorne solidifies QB position with Ashford an electric backup. Freeze 74-47 all time will hit the ground running w 3 wins. Drew Vandy from East division, Tin Horn weekend bye w NMSU
76
UCLA Bruins o8+105
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 9.1; Caesar’s asleep at the wheel, number opened 7.5 and steamed a full win at DK. No DTR no problem, QB room is loaded w Collin Schlee (Kent State), Garbers still a backup, blue chip Dante Moore ready to go. Schedule dodges Oregon, draws an easy non-con and Stanford Arizona on the road
38
Louisville Cardinals o7.5-110
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.4u
Project more than a game better; Jeff Brohm gets Jack Plummer back at QB (Purdue ➡️ Cal ➡️ Ville). 90% offense returning. Defense dominated the Spring, finished 2022 T15 Havoc Finishing Drives. The schedule might be the easiest in Power Five. No FSU. No Clemson
63
Stanford Cardinal u3-120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.8u
Project less than 2 wins; Love the Troy Taylor hire, we’ve banked Sac State games often. This is a complete refresh on offense from Shaw to Taylor. Questions at every single position, including QB and Secondary. The PAC 12 is loaded w QBs, an issue for the Trees defense all season
41
Missouri Tigers o6+110
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 7.2; Wasn’t going to bite on 6.5 as the Arkansas game May be once again the determining factor to 7 wins. Caesar’s 6 at plus money too good to pass up through -125. Abover average marks in TARP. Power Rating upgrades off-season in Second Order Win Total and turnover regression
26
Washington Huskies o9+115
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 10.6; 94% of an offense comes back that was #1 in available yards and havoc allowed, top 5 Success Rate/Finishing Drives. DeBoer retooling defense for more takeaways, any changes at nickel and secondary will help a defense that ranked 119th in havoc. Only four P12 road games
54
Vanderbilt Commodores u4-105
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.2u
Project 3 wins; No buy at DK 3.5, Caesar’s 4 requires Commodores to get a 5th victory. Two winnable games on the schedule come on the road. Possible Vandy steals some East victories, but number is easily hedgeable if Vandy gets to 4
16
Kentucky Wildcats o6.5-115
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.6u
Project 8; Devin Leary gets massive upgrades at OL, this biggest area of concern in 2022. Four wins to start the season. Wanted a Tenn Under but avoided the juice making the pinned game of this future against the Vols
58
South Florida Bulls o3-130
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
5.2u
Project 5.5 wins; Alex Golesh brings the Tennessee offense to a South Florida team loaded at the skill positions. Favored in 3 games, coin flip in 5 additional games
30
Temple Owls o4.5-130
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
5.2u
Project 7.1; Favored in 5 with a few additional coin flips games. Return 75% to offense, 58% to defense
37
Boise State Broncos u9+105
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 7.7; Full preview here
https://twitter.com/_collin1/status/1653409477679280128?s=46&t=jNeXB0IL9C0AefYd6_xf1g
26
Memphis Tigers o7+110
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 9; Henigan gets 88% of offense back. Favored in 7 games w two additional coin flips.
21
Buffalo Bulls u7-120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.8u
Project 4.8; New coordinators, less than 50% pressures and tackles back on defense. Favorites of more than a TD in just 3 games. Draw Toledo from West
33
Old Dominion Monarchs u4-120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.8u
Project 2.8; Portal decimated experience. QB Hayden Wolff to the MAC. Top two havoc makers on defense late April move to Colorado.
29
Troy Trojans o8-125
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
5u
Project 9.6; Projected favorites in 11 games, set to be underdog only to Kansas State. Pulled 4 Power 5 players to fill OL and Corner position. Dodge App State, Coastal from East
51
Atlanta Falcons o8.5+115
2023 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
6
Los Angeles Rams u6.5-110
2023 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
3.3u
6
Oklahoma Sooners u9.5-110
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.4u
From Big 12 Preview. Project 9.3 but questions remain with depth and efficiency on the defensive side of the ball.
92
Iowa State Cyclones o5.5-105
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.2u
From Big 12 Preview. Also betting Over 3.5 conference wins. Matt Campbell returns a deep tight end stable for the 12/13 formations. Depth behind Dekkers is there in case violations are found
77
Oklahoma State Cowboys u6.5+102
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
From Big 12 Preview. Low ceiling for current roster of QBs. Gundy changing from man to gap blocking schemes with an agenda to establish the rush. New DC from Division 2 Gannon
72
West Virginia Mountaineers o5+101
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From Big 12 Preview. Found an offensive identity on the ground with Greene/Donaldson for two November upsets. Neal Brown taking over play calling duties. Will play again mid-August if number rolls to 4.5
57
Liberty Flames+280
2023 NCAAF Conference USA Conference - To Win
4u
From C-USA Preview Pod 7/21: Chadwell gets loaded QB room, Dae Dae w Coastal scheme. Projected favorite in every game except WKU. Top two teams make CUSA title game, Sam Houston/JVille State ineligible
91
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers u8.5-120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
CUSA Podcast Preview 7/21: Project 7.8, Finishing Drives drop off post-Kittley. Defensive Line/Secondary complete refurbish from portal. Double digit underdogs to Troy/Ohio State, coin toss La Tech Liberty
46
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders u6.5+116
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
CUSA Podcast Preview 7/21: Project less than 6 wins, TD minimum dog to Bama, Mizzou, WKU, Liberty. Must replace QB Cunningham, dominate secondary gets 44% PBU back. New offensive scheme under OC Stewart
83
Florida International Panthers o3-145
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.9u
CUSA Podcast Preview 7/21: Project 4.2 wins, 13 point favorite v Maine, four conference coin flips. Return at least 72% both sides of the ball, top 30 pass rush rank.
24
New Mexico Lobos o3.5+120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
MWC Podcast Preview 7/21: Project New Mexico 4.2 wins, rebranded UAB flavored offense at OC and QB. 72% OL snaps remain, 6 games project as one possession spreads. Two TD favorite over Tennessee Tech, small fav at UMass
52
Navy Midshipmen+5000
2023 NCAAF American Athletic Conference - To Win
2u
To win AAC: Navy schedule dodge Tulane, FAU. Draw bottom of conference Temple, UAB, Charlotte. More than 77% returning on both sides of the ball. Number at Circa
67
Florida Atlantic Owls+850
2023 NCAAF American Athletic Conference - To Win
2u
To win AAC: Tom Herman steps into a loaded roster. Conference road travel to the worst teams in the conference: Charlotte, UAB, South Florida
73
Colorado State Rams+4000
2023 NCAAF Mountain West Conference - To Win
1u
To win MWC: Norvell has weapons other than Horton on offense. Offensive line depth is a concern, but this squad will have plenty of explosive plays in a conference full of low bar offenses. Number at Westgate
48
Colorado State Rams o4.5-150
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
83
Wyoming Cowboys+1300
2023 NCAAF Mountain West Conference - To Win
1u
To win MWC: renewed focus on tackling and coverage after drop offs in 2022. Transfers at skill positions w high number of snaps retuning to OL
65
Georgia Bulldogs-110
2023 NCAAF SEC Conference - To Win
4.4u
From SEC Preview: Despite offensive changes to staff and QB, still the best overall team in conference and in division. Travel to Tenn Auburn toughest on schedule, ticket serves as an SEC Title ML wager
69
Arkansas Razorbacks o7+120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 7.2; Defensive front 7 beefed up through Portal for new coordinator Travis Williams (aggressive blitz). KJ Jefferson Rocket Sanders lineup behind top FBS Center Beaux Limmer. Draw Florida Mizzou from East
67
Tennessee Volunteers u8.5+160
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 6; Alternate win total line. Heaviest amount of player churn in SEC. Milton unproven as an accurate passer in the Heupel stretch spread. Plenty of questions stopping explosives for Tim Banks
83
Wake Forest Demon Deacons u6.5-110
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.2u
From BBOC ACC Preview: Project 5.9 wins, offense looks to replace Sam Hartman and interior offensive line. Easy September schedule followed by one of the toughest conference slated in the ACC
70
Penn State Nittany Lions (Yes)+440
2023 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
2.5u
Per BBOC Big Ten Preview next week
63
Ole Miss Rebels o7.5-105
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.1u
From SEC Preview via Action Network
64
UCLA Bruins+1600
2023 NCAAF Pac-12 Conference - To Win
2u
Per Pac-12 Preview at Action Network
59
California Golden Bears u5+100
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Per Pac-12 Preview and BBOC Podcast
83
Atlanta Falcons (Yes)+120
2023 NFL To Make The Playoffs
3u
Number at Circa
13
Green Bay Packers o7.5-115
2023 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
3.45u
20
Tennessee Titans+350
2023 NFL AFC South - To Win
3u
12
Jacksonville Jaguars+1400
2023 NFL AFC Conference - To Win
2.5u
14
Central Michigan Chippewas+2500
2023 NCAAF Mid-American Conference - To Win
2u
Tailing BBOC Podcast: MACtion
39
Clemson Tigers (Yes)+350
2023 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
2u
From Action Network ACC Preview
49
Syracuse Orange o6.5+130
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Per Action Network ACC Preview
55
Wake Forest Demon Deacons u6.5-120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
Per Action Network ACC Preview, adding more to make 4u
38
Minnesota Golden Gophers u7-120
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.8u
From Action Network B1G Preview
66
Nebraska Cornhuskers u6+110
2023 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From Action Network B1G Preview
54
Iowa Hawkeyes+260
2023 NCAAF Big Ten West Division - To Win
2u
From Action Network B1G Preview, hedge scheduled v Wisconsin
45
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 25-10-0 | 71% | 14.06u |
| Last 30 Days | 96-86-4 | 52% | 4.12u |
| All Time | 3290-3127-158 | 50% | 60.48u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 1309-1153-53 | 52% | 114.13u |
| XFL | 3-0-0 | 100% | 2.00u |
| MLB | 960-950-63 | 49% | 0.74u |
| NFL | 209-205-10 | 49% | -6.91u |
| Golf | 60-91-6 | 38% | -21.73u |
| NCAAB | 745-726-26 | 50% | -29.45u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Collin has supported the Kansas City Royals since before he could walk, growing up in Arkansas just a few hours away from Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, the Royals faced Jon Lester and the Athletics in the AL Wild Card game. Collin decided to wager 8 grand to cover the cost of his family seats behind the Royals dugout. The A's had a commanding lead late in the game before Salvador Perez painted the 3rd base line giving Kansas City the win, and an emotional and financial win for Collin.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
As sketched by The Action Network with DraftKings in 2020, Collin left his grandmothers birthday party at Chili's when Cincinnati came back to beat Duke in the 2012 Belk Bowl. Collin had a sizable wager, and Duke's lead in the game helped Collin converse with 20 family members to celebrate the 79th birthday of his beloved grandmother. When Travis Kelce his the explosive touchdown, Collin threw a $100 bill on the table and left his family instantly.
Specialties
- College Football
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- Academy Awards