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Michigan-Florida Betting Guide: Key Starters Sitting Out 2018 Peach Bowl

Dec 29, 2018 11:21 AM EST
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jim Harbaugh and Dan Mullen

2018 Peach Bowl Betting Odds: Michigan-Florida

  • Odds: Michigan -6
  • Over/Under: 50.5
  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 29
  • Location: Atlanta, Ga.
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time bowl odds and win probabilities on your bets


We’ve got a good game on the undercard for the College Football Playoff as Michigan takes on Florida at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

Michigan will be without several key starters, while Florida will be looking to get Dan Mullen a season-defining victory in his inaugural campaign at the swamp.

Odds Movement for Michigan-Florida

By Danny Donahue

After opening as a 6-point favorite, Michigan quickly moved through the key number of -7 up to -7.5 despite receiving the minority of bets. When leading rusher Karan Higdon and second-leading tackler Devin Bush were both pronounced out just over a week ago, that line took a quick hit, and has since continued back to its opening number. Michigan is currently drawing 41% of bets and 34% of dollars.

The movement on the total has been less exciting. With 55% of bets and 57% of money landing on the over, this number has inched only from 50.5 to 51.

Buy Low on Michigan?

By Evan Abrams

Michigan was blown out by Ohio State, 62-39, in its last game. It was an uncharacteristic performance from the Wolverines, who allowed 17.6 points per game in 2018. Historically, this has been a good bounce-back spot for good defenses.

Over the last decade, teams that allow less than 20 PPG but are coming off a game in which it allowed 40+ points are 8-3 straight up and against the spread.

Strength vs. Strength

By Stuckey

The battle in the trenches will feature two fantastic units. Florida ranks No. 1 in the nation in Adjusted Sack Rate on Passing Downs on offense, while Michigan is tops in that same category on defense.

Injury, Absence Report

By Steve Petrella

Michigan will be without:

  • Starting LB Devin Bush
  • Starting RB Karan Higdon
  • Starting DL Rashan Gary
  • Starting LT Juwann Bushell-Beatty

Bush led the team in tackles, while Gary is a force on the interior. Both could be first-round picks in the 2019 NFL Draft, which is why they’re sitting out.

Does Michigan Want  To Be Here?

By Stuckey

I think this is an important game for Florida. It’s Mullen’s first year with the program and he should have them fired up to beat a Michigan team that has blown out the Gators in two of the past three seasons (both on neutral fields).

On the other hand, I’m not sure how excited Michigan will be for another meeting with Florida. This is a team that was supposed to break the mold and finally beat Ohio State, win the Big Ten and get to the CFP. Instead, the Wolverines got torched in their season finale and landed in the Peach Bowl.

And judging from the amount of players sitting out, I’m not sure they want to prove anything in this bowl. The irony is not lost on me that Michigan will play on CFP Saturday, but not in the College Football Playoff.

Bet to Watch

By Collin Wilson