NHL Betting Odds and Picks: Penguins vs. Lightning, Devils vs. Flyers and More (Thursday, Feb. 6)

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Matthew Pearce/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Mikhail Sergachev

Feb 05, 2020, 04:37 PM EST

Thursday night brings with it a 12-game NHL slate headlined by a potential Eastern Conference Final preview between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Also, the Buffalo Sabres play the Detroit Red Wings.


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Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Penguins odds: +140
  • Lightning odds: -165
  • Over/Under: 5.5
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET

This is a heavyweight battle. Not only are both of these teams in the hunt to win their respective divisions, but the Lightning and Penguins haven’t lost much over the past two months.

The Lightning are 19-4-2 with a 57.4% expected goals rate over their last 25 games, while the Penguins are 19-5-1 with a 52.9% expected goals rate in that same span. The Penguins have a slightly better record (8-2-0) over their last 10 games, but the Lightning (7-2-1) have been the better team at driving play over that span. Tampa owns a 53.8% expected goals rate in its last 10 games while the Pens are actually below average at 49.3% over their last 10 games.

Considering the star-power that will be on display, you’d think that this game would be a seesaw battle between two prolific offenses. But a deeper look at how these teams play shows that we could actually be in for a grinding, defensive battle.

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