Virginia vs. Gonzaga Odds & Sharp Betting Pick: Big Bets Moving Marquee Matchup’s Odds

Virginia vs. Gonzaga Odds & Sharp Betting Pick: Big Bets Moving Marquee Matchup’s Odds article feature image
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  • Sharp bettors aren't typically attracted to a team with a No. 1 by its name unless there's significant value, and that's the case for Gonzaga vs. Virginia on Saturday.
  • Sharps and our experts have been on the same side on today's marquee college basketball matchup.
  • Danny Donahue breaks down how that has impacted the odds below.

Virginia vs. Gonzaga Odds

Virginia Odds+7.5
Gonzaga Odds-7.5
Over/Under137
Time4 p.m. ET
TVCBS

A generous Saturday sports slate presents a combination of NFL and NBA matchups, three bowl games, and a fairly impressive mix of college hoops matchups — the last of which is highlighted by a 4 p.m. ET meeting between No. 1 Gonzaga and No. 16 Virginia, and it's one that's attracting more than just the casual bettor.

According to our PRO Report, sharp bettors are also finding value on today's marquee college basketball matchup, and they're having an impact on the spread.

Note: Odds, data as of 10:30 a.m. ET Saturday.

Unlock all the Saturday sharp action…

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Virginia vs. Gonzaga Sharp Betting Pick

Generally speaking, teams with a "No. 1" beside their name are probably unlikely to show value to sharp bettors, and this game is proving no different. Our experts agree, too.

Sharp Action

This line has seen a bit of back-and-forth movement since opening, reaching high and low marks of 9 and 7, respectively. But considering two-thirds of bets on this spread have landed on Gonzaga, there's really no reason for the line movement not to be one-sided. That is, of course, unless the Virginia backing consists of sharp bettors.

Sports Insights Bet Signals have confirmed that to be the case, revealing two separate instances of market-wide line movement in response to sharp action on the Cavs.

Sharp Action edge: Virginia

Big Money

Also giving this spread reason to shift toward Virginia has been the impressive 88% of money that's been generated by its 34% backing. Of course, that's a monetary liability for which sportsbooks need to account, but perhaps more importantly, it reveals that the Cavs are landing the much bigger bets.

And what sort of bettors are (probably) making those wagers? Sharp ones.

Big Money edge: Virginia

Top Experts

Our college basketball experts have also been drawn to the underdog in this matchup, and you can follow all of their picks — and get notified right when they make them — by downloading the free Action App.

Top Experts edge: Virginia

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Doug Ziefel
May 14, 2024 UTC