Freedman: Blues-Bruins Stanley Cup Finals Game 7 Props I’m Betting

Jun 12, 2019 10:34 AM EDT
Credit:

Charlie Coyle was traded from Minnesota to Boston. Credit: Joe Puetz, USA Today Sports.

  • Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring his favorite prop bets for each day of 2019.
  • On Wednesday, he highlights the NHL player props he likes in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final between the St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins.

It all comes down to this: One game, winner take all.

Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final between the St. Louis Blues & Boston Bruins marks the last chance we have until October to get some action down on NHL player props.

Each day this year, I’ve bet on at least one prop I like. See my master list of 2019 prop bets.

In this piece, I highlight my favorite NHL player props for Game 7. NOTE: I might update this piece as the market develops.

Early in 2019, I wasn’t sharp on hockey. But in the postseason I’ve had success.

Since I started making my own projections and publishing postseason NHL prop articles, I’m 97-48-7 (+40.88). For the Stanley Cup Final, I am 35-18-5 (+13.99).

For up-to-the-minute lines, check out our live betting odds page.

Game 7: St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins Betting Odds

  • Blues odds: +145
  • Bruins odds: -165
  • Over: 5.5 (+130)
  • Under: 5.5 (-150)
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • TV: NBC

Boston Bruins Player Props

Bruins C Patrice Bergeron: 3.5 Shots on Goal

  • Over 3.5: -110
  • Under 3.5: -120

In general, it’s profitable to bet unders in the Stanley Cup Final,  and that’s exactly what I’m doing today with Bruins player props.

In 88 games (including playoffs), Bergeron is second on the team with 3.28 shots on goal per game. He’s an aggressive player.

But he doesn’t have a good matchup. Even though the Bruins have a whopping 71 shots on goal over the past two games, the Blues are a diligent defensive team. In the regular season, they held opponents to 28.6 shots on goal per game, and in the playoffs, they’ve basically been themselves, allowing just 28.7 per game. The Blues are one of the best teams in the league at limiting shots.

Bergeron has averaged 3.5 shots per game this series, and in Game 6 he burned us with six shots on goal, but he’s had fewer than 3.5 shots in four of six games in the Stanley Cup Final, and I have him projected for 3.02 tonight.

I’d bet the under to -145.

The Pick: Under 3.5 (-120)

Bruins C David Krejci: 1.5 Shots on Goal

  • Over 1.5: -150
  • Under 1.5: +120

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