Coyotes vs. Flyers Odds, Preview, Prediction: Can Philly Get on a Roll After Upset Win?
Bruce Bennett/Getty Images. Pictured: Cam Atkinson
Flyers vs. Coyotes Odds
|Time||9 p.m. ET|
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After finally snapping a painful 10-game losing streak last night with a 4-3 win in Vegas, Philadelphia will look to make it two in a row against an Arizona team that seems destined to finish in 32nd place this season, and fell 3-1 to the Panthers last night to make it 20 defeats in 27 contests.
Can Philadelphia clean up some desperately needed points from cellar-dwelling Arizona here?
Can Flyers Get on a Roll After Big Win?
The Flyers hanging on to a win last night in Vegas could go as a season turning point. It quite likely won’t, as they are certainly a deep-long shot to make the postseason out of the very tough Metropolitan division, but I will play devil’s advocate for them here.
Over the 10-game losing streak they faced much of the league’s very best competition, with opponents averaging 9.11 rank in points percentage, and even still their last four wins have come against Washington, Carolina, Calgary, and Las Vegas.
So it has been a notably treacherous schedule, and at times the team skated with a very thin roster.
Certainly it was the overall nature of their awful play which was most concerning, with a 38.07 xGF% in those games, and played a big factor in the dismissal of head coach Alain Vigneault.
The Flyers have a notably easier four games this upcoming week, and I believe we will the group stabilize to a less dreadful extent now skating at closer to full-health and against much easier competition.
The question for Mike Yeo will be how much can they clean up the defensive game, which has been very porous of late, with a 3.16 xGA/60 over the losing streak.
Rasmus Ristolainen has come as advertised, and I do not mean to say that in a good way, and it’s hard to think in any circumstances he will begin to post better defensive play.
Ivan Provorov could certainly offer a notable bit of upside, as we have seen him absolutely dominate in the past, but has struggled over a notably poor start to the season.
He’s a player I really like, and I believe that seeing him trend upwards with some better form as this season runs along now under coach Mike Yeo would be far from surprising.
With Carter Hart taking the cage last night, we should see Martin Jones in goal for Philly here.
Jones has posted a .908 save % and +1.2 goals saved above expected rating (GSAx) so far through nine games, and has had those numbers somewhat tanked by some late goals coming in recent blowouts, but has certainly been very solid so far altogether.
Coyotes Playing Low-Event Games
This team knows that to hang around in games, it must play low-event hockey.
The Coyotes managed to keep Florida to just three goals in a scrappy effort (all things considered) Friday night, but ultimately their complete lack of scoring ability shined through again.
Altogether throughout a nine-game span, the Coyotes have still posted -20 goal differential with a mark of 3-6-0, only posting wins when holding opposition to one goal or less.
They own just a 1.90 xGF/60 over that time frame, and considering the lack of scoring talent in the lineup it is predictable that they have not overachieved that mark, scoring just 1.6 goals per game over that span, including two 3-on-3 winners.
The forward core yields almost without debate the least scoring punch in the league, featuring a top six which simply doesn’t hold much firepower to strike fear into the opposition, led by top two centers Travis Boyd and Barrett Hayton.
The defense core has been steady, or more than you might expect, and the play of Shayne Gostisbehere could attract some buyers down the stretch.
But altogether this Arizona bunch is as bad as predicted, from an organization who fully endorsed a scorched earth policy in order to stockpile a vast amount of picks in the upcoming drafts.
Karel Vejmelka will draw the start in the back-to-back situation, and has shown flashes of great play, but ultimately sits with modest numbers with a .906 save percentage and -1.4 GSAx rating.
Flyers vs. Coyotes Pick
It’s certainly a square way to look at it, but I think fading Arizona again here is the right idea.
The Flyers play has been far from inspired of late, but as alluded to it was compounded by a treacherous schedule and some notable absences at once.
have hold a considerably deeper and more talented roster than Arizona, and I think they will get a big boost in finally breaking through with a win last night against Vegas, and compound the success in claiming two much easier points from the Coyotes here.
I also think this sets up well to be a quietly low scoring spot, as Arizona have defended reasonably well of late, especially against less potent offenses such as the Flyers, but hold very little scoring ability.
I think that at a mark of 6 we have value on the under at -115, and would play that to -125, and Philly holds value down to -168.
Pick: Flyers moneyline -150 (Play to -168), Under 6 -115 (Play to -130)