More from Nick Martin
Nicholas Martin's Picks
Today
TOR o4.5-145
MIL
@
TOR
1u
11:07 PM
Bet365 7:55 Tuesday.
11
V.Guerrero Jr. o0.5 HR+390
MIL
@TOR
0.35u
11:07 PM
Bet365 12:42.
11
PHI -120
PHI
@
NYM
1u
11:10 PM
Betrivers 11:30 Tuesday.
12
DET +135 (F5)
TEX
1
1
DET
0.5u
FINAL 5/31
Bet365 12:51.
4
A.Baddoo o1.5 Total Bases+155
TEX
2
3
DET
0.5u
FINAL 5/31
Bet365 1:02.
7
A.Baddoo o0.5 RBI+230
TEX
2
3
DET
0.25u
FINAL 5/31
Bet365 1:04.
4
ATL -1.5-140
ATL
4
2
OAK
0.71u
FINAL 5/31
DraftKings 3:29.
2
Pending
Futures
Los Angeles Kings+4000
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.75u
DraftKings 5:27 June 29. Lots of room to be aggressive and get better beyond today's massive addition, so many young pieces such as Byfield, Kempe, Spence/Durzi who should logically take steps forward, and fought through awful injury luck last year to solid results. Easily the best longshot on the board Imo if you want one.
30
Colorado Avalanche+500
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
1.5u
If your a FanDuel user with units to hold on this for a year, I think this is such a great price. Available July 13 at 12:03.
Might be boring to say but I can't see how anybody in the West gets close to Colorado this summer. Think they are winning the cup closer to 1/3 maybe even 1/2 if healthy and there's a big edge with this price.
23
Calgary Flames+1800
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.25u
Team is surely going to be completely all-in this season after today's moves heading into the deadline. Sure some people will really love their chances now, but I just think this is worth a small play at this number.
28
Toronto Maple Leafs+1000
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
1u
+1000 available on FanDuel 10:19 am EST Monday September 26. Willing to take the hate on this, but I think they won't end up struggling much this year and that the price stays close to this (or lower like most books are offering so far) Touch on this here on our pod:
https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/line-change/id1597051813
26
Cale Makar+1500
2022-23 NHL Hart Trophy - League MVP
0.75u
Available on DraftKings 8:01 pm EST September 28.
16
Connor McDavid+250
2022-23 NHL Hart Trophy - League MVP
1.5u
Available on bet365 11:47 pm EST October 20. Seems like everything is setting up perfectly for this in the early going, especially if Edmonton are going to consistently play a lot of high scoring close games.
7
Ilya Sorokin+500
2022-23 NHL Vezina Trophy - Best Goaltender
0.75u
DraftKings 1:41 am EST November 26.
17
Connor Hellebuyck+900
2022-23 NHL Vezina Trophy - Best Goaltender
0.35u
DraftKings 1:44 am EST Nov 25.
14
Toronto Maple Leafs+1300
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.5u
FanDuel 10:50 pm EST November 28. Disagree that this start should have reduced Torontos chances in this market. This is a top 3 side in the league and people just hate them and cry first round non stop to argue they aren't good. History (and running extremely bad) doesn't change their chances of winning THIS season. Listened to the same ignorant commentary about the Caps for years and then all of a sudden without playing any differently the breaks came at the right times and they win the cup. That's how variance in hockey really works.
27
Linus Ullmark+300
2022-23 NHL Vezina Trophy - Best Goaltender
1u
Bet365 December 28 11:22 pm EST.
30
Owen Power+2200
2022-23 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy - ROY
0.15u
Fanduel 11:14 am Jan/31. Gave this out on the @LineChangePodcast two weeks ago at 35/1 or better! Thanks to all our listeners and I hope lots of you have that better price.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nhl/remaining-nhl-futures-how-to-bet-owen-power-edmonton-oilers-in-hockeys-2nd-half
33
George Kirby+7500
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.15u
Bet365 2:07 pm EST Feb 28.
10
Yordan Alvarez+1100
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.15u
FanDuel 12:37 March 1. Did my first baseball article with Action on this last year and thought it was a good take. Gotta go back on it even at this years number.
13
Anthony Volpe+2800
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.2u
Bet365 5:23 March 26.
12
Los Angeles Angels (Yes)+180
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1u
Betrivers 9:49 pm EST March 26.
10
Juan Soto+550
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.5u
FanDuel 1:54 March 28 @Zerillo .
9
Calgary Flames+5000
2022 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.25u
Bet365 2:22 March 30. Seeing this more as a ticket we can force some money out of rather than something that actually hits. I actually like the chances Calgary sneaks in now, and then think people would be surprised how closely the first two series would be priced. Those close prices is exactly what we would want to make something out of this. (Good note on that is Calgary closing -140 versus a healthy Los Angeles with Korpisalo in goal Tuesday).
36
Shane McClanahan+1100
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.25u
Bet365 1:55 March 31.
11
Dylan Cease+900
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.4u
Bet365 4:45 April 5.
4
Toronto Blue Jays+340
2023 MLB AL East - To Win
1u
Betrivers 12:14 April 16.
5
Filip Gustavsson+10000
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.1u
Don't even really think the wild are very good- but this being 5x their outright price is absurd.
If they win it's behind unreal goaltending leading to coin flip type games. Bet365 April 15.
27
Jack Hughes+3000
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.15u
FanDuel 3:27 April 15. Like the chances Hughes is the guy enough if Jersey makes a run to see value here
33
Connor McDavid+1200
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.35u
FanDuel 3:29 April 15.
36
Jake Oettinger+4500
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.15u
FanDuel 4:23 April 16.
29
Patrice Bergeron+2700
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nhl/nhl-futures-expert-best-picks-conn-smythe-trophy-stanley-cup-playoffs
28
Zac Gallen+700
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.25u
Bet365 April 21.
8
Philipp Grubauer+20000
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.2u
Bet365 9:39 April 29. This is a punt, but not as bad as it might seem. Kraken are 17/1 to win outright- No forward even has two goals in this series, Dunn isn't piling up points either. I think Grubi has a pretty firm lead if they actually go on a miracle run.
22
Philipp Grubauer+10000
2022 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.15u
The Kraken are 10/1 outright. By no means would I bet that, but this number makes no sense so I'll add.
But I like playing Grubi here in combination with a fairly large play on the Stars to win this series at -180 (can't track in app). If Seattle upsets Grubi could easily be 15/1 to win this, but I don't really like their chances of doing so.
19
Roope Hintz+1100
2022-23 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.5u
FanDuel 12:23 May 17.
33
Jaccob Slavin+5000
2022-23 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy - Playoffs MVP
0.25u
Discussed on Line Change Tuesday and I think this is worth a bet at +5000 (bet365, fanduel May 18). Scary because no media seems to be interested in this, but he certainly deserves to be in Carolinas MVP discussion, maybe will gain some traction with the finals being more deeply covered
23
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.40u |
| Last 7 Days | 12-18-1 | 39% | -0.23u |
| Last 30 Days | 90-176-2 | 34% | -54.50u |
| All Time | 2511-3387-63 | 42% | 165.37u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NHL | 1802-2457-32 | 42% | 182.59u |
| NFL | 122-138-3 | 46% | 9.61u |
| NBA | 222-229-7 | 48% | 7.85u |
| Golf | 4-24-0 | 14% | 0.61u |
| Premier League | 2-5-0 | 29% | 0.10u |
| Champions | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.39u |
| NCAAB | 4-6-0 | 40% | -1.21u |
| ATP | 3-4-1 | 38% | -1.37u |
| NCAAF | 0-4-0 | 0% | -3.05u |
| World Cup | 5-32-0 | 14% | -13.27u |
| MLB | 337-463-20 | 41% | -19.51u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Live bet on the Capitals down 3-2 after two strong periods to Vegas in cup-clinching game 5. Best moment as a fan of hockey, but also a good example of the sorts of live situations in which Nicholas looks to find value.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Too many to recall, but surely they have been balanced out with as many lucky hits.
Specialties
- NHL singles and In-Play Betting
- NHL Futures
- MLB