NBA Odds & Picks for Grizzlies vs. Warriors: Are Sharps Fading Steph Curry & Ja Morant?(May 21)

NBA Odds & Picks for Grizzlies vs. Warriors: Are Sharps Fading Steph Curry & Ja Morant?(May 21) article feature image
Credit:

Noah Graham/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Stephen Curry.

  • Grizzlies vs. Warriors. Ja Morant vs. Steph Curry. Young lion vs. Future hall-of-famer.
  • Friday's NBA game between Memphis and Golden State drips with sex appeal as both teams vie for the final spot in the 2021 NBA Playoffs.
  • Below, Michael Walton examines betting market movement to reveal sharp action on the game total.

NBA Odds: Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Grizzlies Odds +4.5
Warriors Odds -4.5
Over/Under 221.5
Time | Channel 9 p.m. ET | ESPN

Ja Morant and the Grizzlies head to The Bay to take on the Warriors and an absolutely red-hot Steph Curry.

We got a preview of this matchup in the NBA regular-season finale when Memphis lost 113-101 to Golden State. That game decided which team would go on to play LeBron James and the Lakers in the Western Conference 7-vs.-8 play-in game.

Curry went off — as he is accustomed to doing these days — for 37 points against the Lakers and had the reigning champs on the ropes for most of the night. It took a big-time 3-pointer from James to seal the Warriors’ fate.

This angle of Bron's shot is wild 👑pic.twitter.com/ArTDgZtG2r

— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) May 20, 2021

If you thought Curry’s scoring against Los Angeles was prolific, then his numbers against the Grizzlies are downright silly.

Now, of course, we must say “small sample size” alert, because Curry literally only played one game against Memphis. But in that game, Curry dropped 46 points in 40 minutes in a double-digit Dubs win.

Curry has proven that he can dominate a great Memphis defense, but the Grizzlies have not shown the ability to score on the Warriors. Per NBA Stats, Memphis averages a paltry 105 points per game (PPG) on 42.8% shooting from the field against the Warriors this season.

So, although Curry has gone for at least 30 points in eight of his last 10 games, the fact that Golden State can guard Memphis makes the total intriguing for Friday night’s matchup.

Our latest PRO Report shows sharp bettors taking the under on Friday night.

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Our NBA model’s biggest daily edges

Profitable data-driven system picks

NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Grizzlies 

Sharp Action

The total for Warriors vs. Grizzlies opened up at 222 before it was pushed down to 221.5 ahead of Friday night’s matchup.

Since Thursday afternoon, there has been one Action Labs Bet Signal triggered on the under. This is an indicator of the sharp action that is moving Friday’s total.

Big Money

At the time of this writing, the 36% of bettors taking the under have generated 58% of the money wagered on Friday’s total.

This 22% difference is a sign of the sharp action backing the under.

PRO Report Pick: Under 221.5 (-105 at PointsBet)

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