Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds & Pick: Can Vols Stop Wildcats’ Ground Attack?

Nov 09, 2019 12:30 AM EST

Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tennessee RB Ty Chandler

Tennessee vs. Kentucky

  • Spread: Kentucky +1
  • Over/Under: 42
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: SEC Network

Odds as of Friday morning via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

The SEC bowl outlook is a mess, with Kentucky (4-4) and Tennessee (4-5) both fighting for postseason eligibility in the final months.

The Vols have turned a little bit of a corner, winning three of their last four (with the loss coming in a covering effort against Alabama).

Kentucky has turned to a run-only offense thanks to quarterback injuries, throwing for fewer than 100 yards in four straight games.

Do the positional matchups favor the Vols or Wildcats on Saturday?

Model Prediction for Kentucky-Tennessee

Using his power ratings, available to Action EDGE members, Collin Wilson projects the spread and total for every Week 11 game. Factors like weather, injury and specific mismatches can alter the market number.

  • Spread: Kentucky -0.2
  • Total: 46.7

Since an injury to Sawyer Smith, Kentucky football has been the Lynn Bowden Jr. show.

Running a version of the read-option, the quarterback is averaging 8 rushing yards per attempt with almost 100 yards more than lead running back Asim Rose. That’s pretty impressive for Bowden Jr, who also leads the team in receptions and receiving yards.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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