USC vs. Arizona State Odds & Betting Pick: Which Team Will Bounce Back?

USC vs. Arizona State Odds & Betting Pick: Which Team Will Bounce Back? article feature image

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: USC quarterback Kedon Slovis

USC vs. Arizona State

  • Spread: Arizona State -2
  • Over/Under: 57
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ABC

Odds as of Friday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

One week after getting blown out at home by Oregon, USC heads to Tempe to take on Arizona State, which has been through some struggles of its own in recent weeks.

The Sun Devils have lost two straight — an offensive mess to Utah, and a defensive mess to UCLA.

Which team will right the ship on Saturday?

Model Prediction for USC-Arizona State

Using his power ratings, available to Action EDGE members, Collin Wilson projects the spread and total for every Week 11 game. Factors like weather, injury and specific mismatches can alter the market number.

  • Spread: USC -1.3
  • Total: 53.3

For the first time in weeks, we may have a healthy USC defense without injury or ejections affecting playing time. Linebacker Palaie Gaoteote is close to 100%, while Isaiah Pola-Mao returns from a second-quarter ejection against Oregon.

USC Safety #21 Isaiah Pola-Mao was ejected for targeting on this play… Cracked 'em! #Trojans #Ducks

— I'M SEEING GHOSTS (@FTBeard11) November 3, 2019

The Trojans are 32nd in sacks and will benefit from the return of their best players on the defensive side of the ball. Turnovers are the name of the game for USC, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Of the 15 fumbles on the season for the Trojans, only six have been recovered.  That will be an issue against an Arizona State defense that has recovered 11 fumbles and ranks 32nd in defensive havoc.

The USC offense has struggled on the road this season, as the Trojans may not have much to play for in Tempe on Saturday. Arizona State comes off a bye week with plenty of time to prepare for a one dimensional USC offense. The 3-3-5 for the Sun Devils is often used to combat air raid offenses, much in the way Matt Campbell’s defense at Iowa State is schemed against the entire Big 12.

Look for Jayden Daniels and Eno Benjamin to start slow off the bye week as plenty of USC defenders are healthy (and not ejected). On the other side of the ball, Arizona State runs the perfect scheme to get USC quarterback Kedon Slovis to struggle.

Pick: Under 57 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

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