- The Patriots (-13) beat the Jets 27-13 in Week 12, covering the spread by a nose thanks to a dropped touchdown pass by Jermaine Kearse at the end of the game.
- The Patriots were the most popular team this week, receiving over 90% of dollars at some Vegas books and over 80% of bets, according to The Action Network's data.
The Patriots-Jets game was a nail biter for bettors that ended in celebration for most folks. Contrarian bettors and sportsbooks had other feelings, though.
This game was actually close for quite some time. Those who bet on the Pats expecting a slaughter were probably feeling a bit queasy when they entered the locker rooms at halftime tied 10-10.
However, the Pats would begin to run away with things in the second half, leaving a comeback essentially out of reach towards the end of the game.
Spread bettors, however, were sweating profusely throughout this game. With New England opening at -10 and closing at -13, Pats backers were in big jeopardy of losing their bets when the Jets approached the goal line down 14 with just a couple of minutes remaining.
Jermaine Kearse, who scored earlier in the game, had no such luck when it mattered the most.
He was mad that he couldn’t reel in the touchdown, but oddsmakers were undoubtedly 10 times angrier, as that drop resulted in millions of dollars changing hands around the world.
Vegas Files For Chapter Nine
All right, I think the books will end up being okay. Something tells me they’ll survive. Nevertheless, they took a brutal beatdown thanks to that drop.
According to Darren Rovell, William Hill was absolutely clobbered by this decision. They weren’t alone.
Every shop on the strip desperately needed Kearse to make that catch. At least he’s made some new friends among public bettors…
The sportsbooks that contribute to our proprietary betting percentages also felt the pain. Eighty-two percent of bets came in on the Pats, which ties the season-high mark with the Chiefs (-7.5) at the Browns in Week 9 per our Bet Labs data.
About two thirds of the money from our contributors was on the Pats and the game was the second most heavily bet in terms of ticket count on the early slate, a hair behind Giants-Eagles.
Though the Patriots are seemingly near to the end of an era, their cover shouldn’t shock too many folks. Since 2003, they’ve covered more than 75% of the time following a straight up loss.