2023-24 NFL MVP Odds Tracker: Tua Tagavailoa is Favored to Win MVP

Evergreen Header Image
PlayerOdds
Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills+350
Patrick Mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs+500
Tua Tagovailoa - Miami Dolphins+500
Jalen Hurts - Philadelphia Eagles+800
Lamar Jackson - Baltimore Ravens+1200
Justin Herbert - Los Angeles Chargers+1600
Brock Purdy - San Francisco 49ers+1600
Aaron Rodgers - New York Jets+1600
Trevor Lawrence - Jacksonville Jaguars+2000
Christian McCaffrey - San Francisco 49ers+2500
Dak Prescott - Dallas Cowboys+2500
Jared Goff - Detroit Lions+3000
Deshaun Watson - Cleveland Browns+5000
Matthew Stafford - Los Angeles Rams+5000
Micah Parsons - Dallas Cowboys+5000
Joe Burrow - Cincinnati Bengals+7500
Tyreek Hill - Miami Dolphins+7500
Jordan Love - Green Bay Packers+7500
Geno Smith - Seattle Seahawks+7500
Kirk Cousins - Minnesota Vikings+10000
Justin Jefferson - Minnesota Vikings+10000
Myles Garrett - Cleveland Browns+10000
T.J. Watt - Pittsburgh Steelers+15000
Kenny Pickett - Pittsburgh Steelers+15000
Derek Carr - New Orleans Saints+15000
Ja'Marr Chase - Cincinnati Bengals+15000
Anthony Richardson - Indianapolis Colts+15000
C.J. Stroud - Houston Texans+15000
Nick Chubb - Cleveland Browns+15000
Sam Darnold - San Francisco 49ers+15000

Entering the season, it appeared most people saw Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen as the clear-cut favorites to win the NFL MVP. 

Mahomes is currently +600 while Allen is +850.

But Tua Tagavailoa has completely taken over the MVP race. The Miami Dolphins quarterback has moved to +380 odds to win the MVP after the first three weeks of the season. The Dolphins are 3-0, Tagavailoa leads the NFL in passing yards and the Dolphins have the best offense in the NFL. 

Tagavailoa is having the season that is needed to make voters quit thinking about Allen and Mahomes. 

Bills quarterback Josh Allen was the favorite entering last season and is back as the favorite at +550 odds. 

Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow had similar odds to Allen and Mahomes entering the season. But a poor Week 1 performance already has him falling down the odds board. 

There are some non-quarterbacks that have risen up the odds board. Christian McCaffrey is now 25-1 after opening around 80-1. Micah Parsons is currently 50-1. 

Be sure to keep checking this page in the lead-up to the season and during the season to get the latest odds for NFL MVP. 

Odds via FanDuel and updated in real-time.

Who is the favorite to win the NFL MVP?

1. Tua Tagavailoa +380

Tagavailoa jumped up into the MVP mix after a big win over the Chargers in Week 1. In the win, Tagavailoa threw for 466 yards and three touchdowns. He's been able to keep a similar pace since the first week of the season. A 70-point explosion over the Broncos will help his chances as well. 

2. Patrick Mahomes +600

It was a surprise to many to see Mahomes not begin the season as the MVP favorite last year. He had already cemented himself as the best quarterback in the NFL. But it appeared to have put a chip on the shoulder of the Chiefs' gun slinger. He threw for over 500 more yards than any other quarterback during the 2022-23 season en route to one of his best seasons in the NFL. Can he repeat that kind of magic? Will he see some fatigue from voters? Many questions are going to be answered in 2023.

3. Josh Allen +850

Allen has been dubbed as the guy to push Mahomes in the new generation of quarterbacks. He went wire-to-wire with Mahomes in the playoffs in 2021 and has emerged as one of the most talented quarterbacks in the NFL. Could this be the year he takes the next step and becomes the Most Valuable Player in the NFL? 

How Do You Win NFL MVP?

We dove deeper into past NFL MVP winners, and there are three main qualifications:

  • Position: This is a quarterback award. Since 2000, there have been 19 quarterbacks to win and four running backs. An RB hasn't won since 2012.
  • Win total: Does the player's team have a path to the best record in the league? Of course, you'll want to look for teams with high win totals. And while win totals are not gospel, but it should give you a good starting point. (But if you think the Jags can win 11 games, by all means bet Trevor Lawrence.)
  • Stats: If everything goes really well, will that player have a statistical profile worthy of an MVP? Even though the Titans had one of the league's best records last year, Ryan Tannehill never got MVP consideration because he wasn't putting up big numbers.
FUTURESConsensusCons.
Josh AllenJ.Allen
+380
+400
+350
+400
+380
+350
+400
Tua TagovailoaT.Tagovailoa
+500
+600
+500
+500
+500
+500
+450
Patrick MahomesP.Mahomes
+500
+400
+550
+550
+550
+500
+500
Jalen HurtsJ.Hurts
+800
+800
+750
+750
+700
+800
+800
Lamar JacksonL.Jackson
+1200
+1200
+1000
+1000
+1100
+1200
+1100
Justin HerbertJ.Herbert
+1600
+1000
+1800
+2000
+1800
+1600
+1600
Brock PurdyB.Purdy
+1600
+1600
+1600
+1600
+2200
+1600
+2000
Aaron RodgersA.Rodgers
+1600
+1500
+6600
N/A
+7500
+1600
+1600
Christian McCaffreyC.McCaffrey
+2000
+1600
+1600
+2000
+2000
+2500
+2500
Trevor LawrenceT.Lawrence
+2500
+2500
+2000
+2500
+2500
+2000
+2200
Dak PrescottD.Prescott
+2500
+2500
+2500
+3000
+3000
+2500
+2500
Jared GoffJ.Goff
+3300
+3300
+3300
+4000
+3500
+3000
+4000
Joe BurrowJ.Burrow
+5000
+3500
+5000
+6000
+5000
+7500
+5000
Deshaun WatsonD.Watson
+5000
+5000
+4000
+6000
+5500
+5000
+5000
Micah ParsonsM.Parsons
+5000
+5500
+5000
+3500
+5000
+5000
+5000
Matthew StaffordM.Stafford
+5000
+5000
+5000
+8000
+5000
+5000
+6000
Kirk CousinsK.Cousins
+6000
+5500
+6600
+6000
+6000
+10000
+6600
Tyreek HillT.Hill
+7500
+5500
+7500
+8000
+7500
+7500
+6600
Jordan LoveJ.Love
+7500
+7500
+10000
+15000
+13000
+7500
+8000
Geno SmithG.Smith
+7500
+7500
+7500
+10000
+7000
+7500
+7000
Derek CarrD.Carr
+8000
+5500
+8000
+8000
+8000
+15000
+10000
Justin JeffersonJ.Jefferson
+8000
+8000
+8000
+8000
+7500
+10000
+8000
Myles GarrettM.Garrett
+10000
+10000
+12500
+30000
+10000
+10000
+15000
Nick ChubbN.Chubb
+13929
N/A
+15000
N/A
+13000
+15000
+10000
T.J. WattT.Watt
+15000
+20000
+10000
+10000
+13000
+15000
+10000
C.J. StroudC.Stroud
+15000
+20000
+8000
+12500
+15000
+15000
+10000
Justin FieldsJ.Fields
+15000
+10000
+15000
+10000
+15000
+20000
+50000
Kenny PickettK.Pickett
+15000
+10000
+15000
+15000
+20000
+15000
+25000
Mac JonesM.Jones
+15000
+10000
+20000
+20000
+15000
+20000
+50000
Jimmy GaroppoloJ.Garoppolo
+15000
+10000
+20000
+20000
+15000
+20000
+25000
Anthony RichardsonA.Richardson
+15000
+15000
+8000
+8000
+7500
+15000
N/A
Gardner MinshewG.Minshew
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kyler MurrayK.Murray
+15000
+10000
+25000
+30000
+25000
+15000
+10000
Sam DarnoldS.Darnold
+15000
+15000
+15000
+30000
+25000
+15000
+10000
Cooper KuppC.Kupp
+15000
+15000
+25000
+30000
+25000
+15000
+10000
Bailey ZappeB.Zappe
+15000
+15000
+20000
N/A
+25000
+15000
N/A
Jameis WinstonJ.Winston
+15000
+15000
N/A
+25000
N/A
N/A
+12500
Jarrett StidhamJ.Stidham
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Bijan RobinsonB.Robinson
+17145
N/A
+10000
N/A
+15000
+20000
N/A
DeAndre HopkinsD.Hopkins
+18000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+18000
N/A
Daniel JonesD.Jones
+20000
+10000
+20000
+20000
+20000
+20000
+20000
Desmond RidderD.Ridder
+20000
+20000
+15000
+25000
+15000
+20000
+25000
Deebo SamuelD.Samuel
+20000
+20000
+15000
+25000
+20000
+20000
+15000
Bryce YoungB.Young
+20000
+20000
+20000
+25000
+25000
+18000
+50000
Sam HowellS.Howell
+20000
+10000
+20000
+12500
+25000
+20000
+20000
Baker MayfieldB.Mayfield
+20000
+20000
+12500
+10000
+10000
+20000
+15000
Saquon BarkleyS.Barkley
+20000
+20000
+20000
N/A
+20000
+15000
+20000
Travis KelceT.Kelce
+20000
+20000
+20000
+25000
+20000
+20000
+15000
Ryan TannehillR.Tannehill
+20000
+20000
+20000
+15000
+20000
+20000
+20000
Derrick HenryD.Henry
+20000
+20000
+15000
+15000
+15000
+20000
+15000
Aidan HutchinsonA.Hutchinson
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+20000
N/A
Russell WilsonR.Wilson
+20000
+10000
+20000
+15000
+20000
+20000
+20000
CeeDee LambC.Lamb
+20000
+20000
+20000
+20000
+25000
+20000
+25000
Stefon DiggsS.Diggs
+20000
+20000
+12500
+30000
+20000
+20000
+25000
Aaron DonaldA.Donald
+20000
+30000
+15000
+30000
+20000
+20000
+20000
Zach WilsonZ.Wilson
+20000
N/A
+25000
+30000
+30000
+18000
+50000
Nick BosaN.Bosa
+20000
+20000
+15000
+20000
+20000
+18000
+15000
Davante AdamsD.Adams
+20000
+20000
+20000
+25000
+25000
+20000
+25000
Kareem HuntK.Hunt
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+20000
N/A
N/A
Puka NacuaP.Nacua
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+20000
N/A
N/A
Jacoby BrissettJ.Brissett
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Matt RyanM.Ryan
+20000
N/A
+12500
N/A
+20000
N/A
N/A
Amon-Ra St. BrownA.St. Brown
+20000
N/A
+20000
+50000
+20000
N/A
N/A
Will LevisW.Levis
+20933
+25000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+18000
N/A
Marcus MariotaM.Mariota
+24004
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+30000
N/A
Jaylen WaddleJ.Waddle
+25000
N/A
+25000
N/A
+25000
N/A
+25000
A.J. BrownA.Brown
+25000
N/A
+12500
+50000
+25000
N/A
+50000
Ja'Marr ChaseJ.Chase
+25000
+25000
+15000
+25000
+25000
+15000
+15000
Garrett WilsonG.Wilson
+25000
N/A
+25000
+50000
+25000
N/A
N/A
Taylor HeinickeT.Heinicke
+25000
+25000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tyler HuntleyT.Huntley
+25000
+25000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Calvin RidleyC.Ridley
+25000
N/A
N/A
+25000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Hendon HookerH.Hooker
+25000
+25000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tony PollardT.Pollard
+25000
N/A
+20000
+50000
N/A
+25000
N/A
Carson WentzC.Wentz
+25000
+15000
+20000
N/A
+25000
+30000
+12500
Mike WhiteM.White
+27274
+25000
+20000
N/A
+30000
N/A
N/A
Chris JonesC.Jones
+27274
+30000
+25000
N/A
+25000
N/A
N/A
Rhamondre StevensonR.Stevenson
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+30000
N/A
+20000
George KittleG.Kittle
+30000
+20000
+25000
+50000
+50000
+30000
+25000
Josh JacobsJ.Jacobs
+30000
+30000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
+20000
Breece HallB.Hall
+30000
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+25000
Teddy BridgewaterT.Bridgewater
+30000
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Bradley ChubbB.Chubb
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Austin EkelerA.Ekeler
+30000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
+30000
Alvin KamaraA.Kamara
+30000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
+15000
Maxx CrosbyM.Crosby
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+25000
Keenan AllenK.Allen
+30000
N/A
+12500
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
DeVonta SmithD.Smith
+30000
N/A
+25000
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Joey BosaJ.Bosa
+30000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Chase YoungC.Young
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Haason ReddickH.Reddick
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+20000
Sauce GardnerS.Gardner
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Dalvin CookD.Cook
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+25000
Davis MillsD.Mills
+33344
+25000
+20000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Andy DaltonA.Dalton
+33344
+25000
+30000
+50000
+50000
N/A
N/A
Trey LanceT.Lance
+40000
+40000
+25000
N/A
+50000
+30000
+15000
Sam EhlingerS.Ehlinger
+40000
+40000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Malik WillisM.Willis
+40000
+40000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kyle TraskK.Trask
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
+20000
Blaine GabbertB.Gabbert
+50000
N/A
+25000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Christian KirkC.Kirk
+50000
N/A
+30000
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Odell Beckham Jr.O.Beckham Jr.
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
Jonathan TaylorJ.Taylor
+50000
N/A
+40000
+50000
+50000
N/A
+15000
Michael Pittman Jr.M.Pittman
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
JuJu Smith-SchusterJ.Smith-Schuster
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Terry McLaurinT.McLaurin
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Chris OlaveC.Olave
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Najee HarrisN.Harris
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+50000
Jamaal WilliamsJ.Williams
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Khalil MackK.Mack
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
D'Andre SwiftD.Swift
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shaquille LeonardS.Leonard
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Michael ThomasM.Thomas
+50000
N/A
+30000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Marquise BrownM.Brown
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Jeffery SimmonsJ.Simmons
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Aaron JonesA.Jones
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Isiah PachecoI.Pacheco
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kadarius ToneyK.Toney
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Joe MixonJ.Mixon
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Mike EvansM.Evans
+50000
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
N/A
+30000
Nick BoltonN.Bolton
+50000
N/A
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tyler AllgeierT.Allgeier
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Brian RobinsonB.Robinson
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Ezekiel ElliottE.Elliott
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Matthew JudonM.Judon
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
J.K. DobbinsJ.Dobbins
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kenneth Walker IIIK.Walker
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tyler LockettT.Lockett
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Chris GodwinC.Godwin
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Dameon PierceD.Pierce
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Jerry JeudyJ.Jeudy
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kyle PittsK.Pitts
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Miles SandersM.Sanders
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Travis Etienne Jr.T.Etienne
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+25000
Drake LondonD.London
+75000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Jarvis LandryJ.Landry
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
DK MetcalfD.Metcalf
+100000
N/A
N/A
+100000
N/A
N/A
+25000
James RobinsonJ.Robinson
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
T.J. HockensonT.Hockenson
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Cam AkersC.Akers
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Diontae JohnsonD.Johnson
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
David MontgomeryD.Montgomery
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Antonio GibsonA.Gibson
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Leonard FournetteL.Fournette
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Clyde Edwards-HelaireC.Edwards-Helaire
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Darren WallerD.Waller
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Zay JonesZ.Jones
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Elijah MitchellE.Mitchell
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kenny GolladayK.Golladay
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Melvin Gordon IIIM.Gordon
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Courtland SuttonC.Sutton
+100000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Past NFL MVPs

MVP  Year
Patrick Mahomes 2022-23
Aaron Rodgers 2021-22
Aaron Rodgers 2020-21
Lamar Jackson 2019-20
Patrick Mahomes 2018-19
Tom Brady 2017-18
Matt Ryan 2016-17
Cam Newton 2015-16
Aaron Rodgers 2014-15
Peyton Manning 2013-14
Adrian Peterson 2012-13
Aaron Rodgers 2011-12
Tom Brady 2010-11
Peyton Manning 2009-10
Peyton Manning 2008-09
Tom Brady 2007-08
LaDainian Tomlinson 2006-07
Shaun Alexander 2005-06
Peyton Manning 2004-05
Peyton Manning 2003-04
Steve McNair 2003-04
Rich Gannon 2002-03
Kurt Warner 2001-02
Marshall Faulk 2000-01
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