Steelers vs. Bills Odds & Picks: How To Maximize Sunday Night Football’s Betting Model Edge

Steelers vs. Bills Odds & Picks: How To Maximize Sunday Night Football’s Betting Model Edge article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Haden #23, Avery Williamson #51 and Mike Hilton #28 of the Pittsburgh Steelers

  • It's officially overreaction season in the NFL.
  • See our NFL PRO Projections' big betting edge for Steelers-Bills on Sunday Night Football.

NFL Odds: Steelers vs. Bills

Steelers Odds +2
Bills Odds -2
Over/Under 49
PRO Projections Steelers -2.1 | O/U: 47.6
Time/Channel  8:20 p.m. ET/NBC
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Earlier this week, I detailed how the Steelers vs. Bills Sunday Night Football spread was popping with value based on our NFL PRO Projections, including a 9.5% edge at the time of writing.

The betting market agreed, as Pittsburgh has shortened from a consensus of +2.5 to +2 throughout the week.

So this begs the question: with new information and updated model projections, is there still value with the Steelers heading into tonight’s game against the Bills?

Let’s revisit our updated NFL PRO Projections to answer that very question.

NFL Picks: Steelers vs. Bills

The Action Network’s NFL model projects the Steelers vs. Bills spread to be Pittsburgh -2.1, which, when compared to the market consensus of +2, results in a 5.5% betting edge.

This earns Steelers +1.5 a B grade, which certainly doesn’t offer the value that was available earlier this week, but is still bettable.

But remember, it’s important to always shop the market for the best odds possible. By doing just that via our NFL Live Odds page, we see that DraftKings is offering Steelers +2.5, which improves that edge even further.

PRO Projections Pick: Steelers +2.5

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Our NFL model’s biggest weekly edges

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