Rams vs. Packers Odds & Picks: The System That Likes This Underdog To Cover Saturday’s Spread

Rams vs. Packers Odds & Picks: The System That Likes This Underdog To Cover Saturday’s Spread article feature image
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Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images. Pictured: Jalen Ramsey

Rams vs. Packers Odds

Rams Odds +6.5
Packers Odds -6.5
Over/Under 45.5
PRO Projection GB -5.5 | O/U 45.4
Time Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET
TV FOX
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For the most part, bettors are pretty evenly-distributed across each side of this weekend’s four Divisional Round matchups. Three of the games feature ticket splits inside the 55%-45% mark as of Friday, but one matchup has generated a more clear consensus.

The Packers are listed as 6.5-point favorites across most of the market Friday, and bettors have had little issue laying those points. As of writing, 60% of spread bets have landed on Green Bay.

But does that actually mean that the Packers are the right play? Here’s what history says about popular teams in the NFL Playoffs.


Rams vs. Packers Betting System

The public hasn’t exactly excelled in the NFL’s postseason, historically speaking. In our database (which goes back to the 2003-04 season), teams getting more than 50% of bets have gone just 91-99-4 against the spread (ATS).

That’s not to suggest that blindly betting against the public is necessarily a sound strategy, either, as a 52.1% win rate wouldn’t quite be enough to squeak out a  profit at an average vig of -110.

It is, however, a worthy starting point, and with a few more specifications leads to one of our PRO Betting Systems:

Looking specifically at underdogs in this spot — and games in which the total isn’t too high — has led to the pot of gold at the end of this contrarian rainbow.

With larger spreads being tougher to cover in lower-scoring games, such teams have gone 31-14-1 ATS over the past 17+ seasons. And assuming the current lines and percentage don’t venture too far off their current positions, the Rams’ outcome on Saturday will be added to that sample.

PRO System match: Rams +6.5

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