Alabama vs. Auburn Odds, Picks, Predictions: Will Tigers Pull Off Iron Bowl Upset Over Tide?


John David Mercer, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Mac Jones

Nov 30, 2019, 02:40 PM EST
  • Updated Alabama vs. Auburn odds list the Tide as -3.5 favorites in the 2019 Iron Bowl.
  • Alabama was a 9.5-point favorite in lookahead lines before Tua Tagovailoa's season-ending hip injury, so the market is accounting almost a touchdown for his absence.
  • Our experts give their Alabama vs. Auburn picks and break down whether or not the Tigers can pull off the outright upset.

Iron Bowl Odds: Alabama vs. Auburn

  • Spread: Alabama -3.5
  • Over/Under: 51
  • Moneyline: Alabama -179, Auburn +150
  • Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS

Everyone seems to be talking about Alabama’s path to the College Football Playoff. But shouldn’t they first be talking about whether or not the Tide can win the Iron Bowl?

Nick Saban’s team is a 3.5-point favorite as of Friday afternoon, a sharp drop from the lookahead lines posted at various Vegas sportsbooks throughout the season. Before Tua Tagovailoa’s season-ending hip injury, the Tide were -9.5 at the Westgate SuperBook.

Can Auburn’s defense do enough to cover and even pull off the upset? Let’s break it all down.

Odds as of Friday afternoon and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.

Alabama vs. Auburn Line Movement

Alabama has mostly sat at -3.5 throughout the week, but did get up to -4 a few times before being knocked back down to -3.5.

The total has dropped from 50 to 49.5 behind 90% of the money on the under.

Collin Wilson: Is Alabama on Upset Watch?

The media made a big deal of Nick Saban saying that Auburn is the best team his team will face this season, but he may be correct (sorry, LSU fans) — at least on defense.

Auburn’s defense ranks inside the top-10 in rushing and passing success rate and 11th in finishing drives. The Tigers struggle defending passing explosiveness, but Alabama, for all of its success after the catch, couldn’t beat an LSU defense that ranks 127th in the same category.

Indeed, this may be the toughest team Nick Saban has had to face this year.