Best Broncos-Raiders MNF Player Props: Betting Phillip Lindsay’s Receptions, More

Best Broncos-Raiders MNF Player Props: Betting Phillip Lindsay’s Receptions, More article feature image
  • There are three prop bets offering betting value in the Monday Night Football game between the Denver Broncos and Oakland Raiders (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN).
  • This piece will analyze the following prop bets: Broncos RB Phillip Lindsay over/under 2.0 receptions and over/under 17.5 receiving yards and Broncos WR DaeSean Hamilton over/under 42.5 receiving yards.

There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Broncos-Raiders matchup on Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props.



So will the player props tool at FantasyLabs, which takes each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverages them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.

*All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET on Monday

Broncos RB Phillip Lindsay

The pick: Over 2.5 receptions (+110) and over 19.5 receiving yards (+100)

Since Emmanuel Sanders (Achilles) went on injured reserve, Lindsay is third on the Broncos in target share (15.5%), averaging 6.5 targets per game while catching four passes and exceeding 20 or more yards in each game.

Additionally, Lindsay set season-highs in pass routes each of the past two weeks with Sanders on the shelf, per Pro Football Focus.

I like the idea of targeting the over on receptions and receiving yards because it's reasonable to expect the yards to hit the over if Lindsay exceeds his reception prop.

Broncos WR DaeSean Hamilton

The pick: Over 44.5 receiving yards (-110)

Hamilton leads the Broncos with 25.5% of their target share and 10.5 targets per game over the past two weeks with Sanders out.

The minor risk in this bet is Hamilton's average depth of target is just 5.5 yards, and he's barely exceeded 44.5 receiving yards over the past two weeks.

However, I'm willing to bet he can get there based on his volume along with the fact that the Raiders are allowing 9.09 yards per attempt and 113.0 yards per game to the slot this season, where Hamilton has run 72% of his routes over the past two weeks.



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