NFL Prop Picks: Bet This Jeff Wilson Over For Sunday Night Football Showdown Between 49ers vs. Eagles
Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images. Pictured: Jeff Wilson
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite props for every slate throughout the 2020 season — he was 31-15 (67.4%) heading into Sunday’s games and has a 236-166-5 (58.7%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app.
Find his pick for the Sunday Night Football showdown between the Eagles and 49ers below. And if you’re looking for more action, his projections also power the FantasyLabs NFL Player Prop Tool, which grades every prop.
NFL Prop Bet: Eagles vs. 49ers
- The Pick: Jeff Wilson Over 33.5 Rush Yards (-110)
- Bet Now: FanDuel
Jeff Wilson benefits from injuries on both sides of this Sunday Night Football matchup.
Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman remain out for San Francisco, meaning Wilson and Jerick McKinnon will be the two main backs again this week.
The Eagles have been decimated by injuries at the wide receiver and tight end positions as well as along the offensive line, which is why the 49ers have ballooned from 3- to 9-point favorites since opening (find real-time odds here). As a result, this game script should favor Wilson as the main early-down back rather than McKinnon as the main pass-catching back. McKinnon has also been dealing with a rib injury, which could mean a few more carries for Wilson on Sunday night.
Don’t let Wilson’s 12 carries for 15 yards last week turn you off — he should regress toward a yards per carry mark closer to 3.7 in this one. I have him projected for 12.8 carries and a median of 47.5 rush yards, so this prop is way too low and I would bet the over up to 42.5 yards.
Here are the projected chances of Wilson going over or under various yardages based on my player prop simulations so you can compare to the line(s) available at your sportsbook(s):