Tuesday Sharp Report: Wiseguys Hitting Three Totals

May 08, 2018 04:45 PM EDT

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Pro players cashed on the Twins (+115) yesterday, but swung and missed on the Athletics (+122) and Padres (+155). It’s no consolation for a losing day, but this is why wiseguys love betting dogs. When they win, they earn plus-money payouts. Yesterday’s plays went 1-2, but lost only 0.85 units. Had they gone 1-2 betting all favorites (at -150 or -175), they would be down 2.5 units or more. Volume betting, long season, stay the course, think long term.


After analyzing Tuesday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05 and 7:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 2:15 p.m. ET

Boston Red Sox – New York Yankees Under 8.5

7:05 p.m. ET

The Sox and Yanks kick off a pivotal three-game series in the Bronx tonight. The public sees Betts, Judge and Stanton on the same field with a short outfield porch and automatically assumes it will be a high-scoring game. Not the sharps. Nearly 80% of bets are on the Over, yet the total has either remained frozen at 8.5 or fallen to 8 depending on the book, indicating Under liability. Wiseguys at Pinnacle hammered the Under 8.5, triggering a pair of steam and reverse line moves. This Under also matches a profitable Bet Labs system: Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams (+168.72 units since 2005).

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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