MLB NL Cy Young Winner Odds

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ERA, strikeouts, innings pitched, WHIP and more go into deciding the Cy Young award candidates each season. Starting pitching is arguably the most important aspect of a team's success, which is why the winner of the Cy Young also tends to get some MVP votes. In fact, a few Cy Young Award winners have also won the MVP, most recently Clayton Kershaw in 2014.

Milwaukee Brewers starter Corbin Burnes led the NL in ERA in 2021 en route to his first Cy Young award -- one that was all but locked in for New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom to win after starting the season on an all-time pace. However, an injury ended deGrom's season prematurely and opened the door for Burnes.

The Milwaukee right-hander finds himself in the mix once again and is listed as the favorite through two months of the season. However, as we saw just a year ago, things can change in a hurry, so this race is far from over.

PlayerOdds
Sandy Alcantara - Miami Marlins+250
Joe Musgrove - San Diego Padres+450
Corbin Burnes - Milwaukee Brewers+500
Zack Wheeler - Philadelphia Phillies+1000
Max Fried - Atlanta Braves+1100
Carlos Rodón - San Francisco Giants+1500
Tony Gonsolin - Los Angeles Dodgers+1800
Aaron Nola - Philadelphia Phillies+2000
Pablo López - Miami Marlins+2500
Kyle Wright - Atlanta Braves+3500
Max Scherzer - New York Mets+4000
Josh Hader - Milwaukee Brewers+4000
Logan Webb - San Francisco Giants+5000
MacKenzie Gore - San Diego Padres+5000
Sean Manaea - San Diego Padres+5000
Tyler Anderson - Los Angeles Dodgers+5000
Clayton Kershaw - Los Angeles Dodgers+5000
Julio Urías - Los Angeles Dodgers+5000
Yu Darvish - San Diego Padres+6600
Eric Lauer - Milwaukee Brewers+6600
Zac Gallen - Arizona Diamondbacks+6600
Miles Mikolas - St. Louis Cardinals+8000
Walker Buehler - Los Angeles Dodgers+8000
Carlos Carrasco - New York Mets+8000
Tylor Megill - New York Mets+10000
Chris Bassitt - New York Mets+10000
Freddy Peralta - Milwaukee Brewers+10000
Brandon Woodruff - Milwaukee Brewers+10000
Jacob deGrom - New York Mets+10000
Ian Anderson - Atlanta Braves+10000
Adam Wainwright - St. Louis Cardinals+10000
Merrill Kelly - Arizona Diamondbacks+12500
Jesús Luzardo - Miami Marlins+12500
Kyle Gibson - Philadelphia Phillies+15000
Trevor Rogers - Miami Marlins+15000
Tyler Mahle - Cincinnati Reds+15000
Jack Flaherty - St. Louis Cardinals+25000
Luis Castillo - Cincinnati Reds+25000
Mike Clevinger - San Diego Padres+25000
Adrian Houser - Milwaukee Brewers+25000
Kyle Hendricks - Chicago Cubs+25000
Blake Snell - San Diego Padres+25000
Charlie Morton - Atlanta Braves+25000
Madison Bumgarner - Arizona Diamondbacks+25000
Andrew Heaney - Los Angeles Dodgers+25000
Alex Cobb - San Francisco Giants+25000
Ranger Suárez - Philadelphia Phillies+25000
Edwin Díaz - New York Mets+25000
Mitch Keller - Pittsburgh Pirates+50000
Patrick Corbin - Washington Nationals+50000

Who's the favorite to win the NL Cy Young award?

Here are some of the odds to win the NL Cy Young award:

NL Cy Young candidates

  • Corbin Burnes (+450)

  • Sandy Alcantara (+450)
  • Joe Musgrove (+600)

  • Pablo Lopez (+1100)

  • Carlos Rodon (+1200)

  • Walker Buehler (+2000)

It's no surprise to see the reigning NL Cy Young award winner atop this list as he's off to another strong start in Milwaukee. Along those same lines, Walker Buehler has emerged as an ace over the past couple seasons and it wouldn't be a shock to see him win a Cy Young at some point in his career if he doesn't take home the hardware in 2022. Burnes and Buehler may be the most familiar names among the top six, but that's part of what makes this -- and many other baseball awards -- so tough to predict. Players can seemingly come out of nowhere and turn in dominant seasons.

Carlos Rodon spent the first seven seasons of his career with the White Sox and signed with the Giants as a free agent prior to the 2022 campaign. He's coming off the best season of his career, but many wanted to see if his 2021 campaign was a fluke, or his new standard. We are still early in 2022, but it's looking like Rodon is the real deal. Similar things can be said about Pablo Lopez, who has improved in each of the past three seasons, but is still looking to truly establish himself as elite.

Sandy Alcantara is the biggest surprise of the season so far. He has an ERA below 2 and a WHIP below 1 as we enter June. 

Look a bit further down the board and you'll find even more familiar names like Clayton Kershaw (+5455), Max Scherzer (+5098) and Yu Darvish (+8238). Handicapping the Cy Young isn't easy, but there is certainly value to be had.

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Sandy AlcantaraS. Alcantara
+275
+275
N/A
+2500
+750
+280
+250
Corbin BurnesC. Burnes
+425
+500
N/A
+600
+320
+550
+425
Joe MusgroveJ. Musgrove
+550
+550
N/A
+1800
+950
+550
+450
Zack WheelerZ. Wheeler
+1200
+1050
N/A
+1200
+1500
+1200
+1200
Max FriedM. Fried
+1200
+1300
N/A
+1800
+1500
+1200
+1100
Tony GonsolinT. Gonsolin
+1548
+1600
N/A
N/A
N/A
+2000
+1500
Carlos RodónC. Rodón
+1700
+1700
N/A
+1500
+950
+1500
+1800
Aaron NolaA. Nola
+2200
+2000
N/A
+1800
+3000
+2200
+2200
Kyle WrightK. Wright
+3500
+3700
N/A
N/A
+3500
+5000
+3500
Pablo LópezP. López
+3500
+2500
N/A
+7500
+1000
+3500
+4000
Josh HaderJ. Hader
+4500
+4700
N/A
+5000
+4000
+5000
+4500
Zac GallenZ. Gallen
+4500
+5500
N/A
+15000
+1900
+7000
+4500
Tyler AndersonT. Anderson
+5455
+6000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+9000
+5000
Logan WebbL. Webb
+6000
+4000
N/A
+2500
+5500
+6000
+6500
Yu DarvishY. Darvish
+6000
+6000
N/A
+3000
+6000
+6000
+6500
Max ScherzerM. Scherzer
+6000
+4000
N/A
+500
+4000
+6000
+7000
Sean ManaeaS. Manaea
+6000
+6000
N/A
+2500
+5500
+8000
+6000
Clayton KershawC. Kershaw
+6000
+5200
N/A
+4000
+4000
+6000
+6000
Julio UríasJ. Urías
+6500
+6000
N/A
+2500
+5000
+7000
+6500
Eric LauerE. Lauer
+7000
+6000
N/A
N/A
+4500
+8000
+7000
Brandon WoodruffB. Woodruff
+7000
+9000
N/A
+1200
+3000
+12000
+7000
MacKenzie GoreM. Gore
+7000
+7000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+8000
+7000
Carlos CarrascoC. Carrasco
+8000
+8000
N/A
+20000
+8000
+8000
N/A
Walker BuehlerW. Buehler
+8000
+6000
N/A
+900
+1100
+9000
+8000
Ian AndersonI. Anderson
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+12000
Kyle GibsonK. Gibson
+10000
+10000
N/A
+10000
+9000
+15000
N/A
Miles MikolasM. Mikolas
+10000
+9500
N/A
+20000
+6000
+10000
+12000
Merrill KellyM. Kelly
+10000
+10000
N/A
+15000
+10000
+12000
N/A
Chris BassittC. Bassitt
+10000
+10000
N/A
+2500
+4000
+10000
+10000
Freddy PeraltaF. Peralta
+10000
+10000
N/A
+3500
+7500
+10000
+10000
Wade MileyW. Miley
+10000
+10000
N/A
+15000
+10000
N/A
N/A
Jacob deGromJ. deGrom
+10000
+10000
N/A
+1800
+8000
+12000
+10000
Adam WainwrightA. Wainwright
+10000
+10000
N/A
+15000
+10000
+10000
+10000
Jesús LuzardoJ. Luzardo
+10910
+10000
N/A
+7500
N/A
+12000
N/A
Tylor MegillT. Megill
+12000
+10000
N/A
+12500
+9000
+12000
+15000
Alex CobbA. Cobb
+14304
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+25000
N/A
Tyler MahleT. Mahle
+15000
+15000
N/A
+15000
N/A
+15000
N/A
Ranger SuárezR. Suárez
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+25000
N/A
Luis CastilloL. Castillo
+17145
+15000
N/A
+4000
+10000
N/A
+20000
Trevor RogersT. Rogers
+17145
+15000
N/A
+6000
N/A
+15000
+20000
Charlie MortonC. Morton
+20000
+10000
N/A
+7500
+10000
+25000
+20000
Blake SnellB. Snell
+20000
+15000
N/A
+5000
+10000
+25000
+20000
Andrew HeaneyA. Heaney
+20000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+10000
+25000
+20000
Adrian HouserA. Houser
+25000
+15000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+25000
+25000
Madison BumgarnerM. Bumgarner
+25000
+20000
N/A
+15000
+10000
+25000
+25000
Mike ClevingerM. Clevinger
+25000
+25000
N/A
+8000
N/A
+25000
N/A
Kyle HendricksK. Hendricks
+25000
+25000
N/A
+15000
N/A
+25000
+25000
Marcus StromanM. Stroman
+25000
+15000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+50000
+25000
Jack FlahertyJ. Flaherty
+25000
+15000
N/A
+4000
+10000
+25000
+25000
Stephen StrasburgS. Strasburg
+25000
+15000
N/A
+12500
+10000
+25000
+30000
Patrick CorbinP. Corbin
+30000
+20000
N/A
+12500
+10000
+50000
+30000
Dinelson LametD. Lamet
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
Dustin MayD. May
+50000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+50000
N/A
Steven MatzS. Matz
+50000
+25000
N/A
+15000
+10000
+50000
+50000
Germán MárquezG. Márquez
+50000
+15000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+50000
+50000
Anthony DeSclafaniA. DeSclafani
+50000
+15000
N/A
+12500
+10000
+50000
+50000
Mike SorokaM. Soroka
+50000
N/A
N/A
+15000
N/A
+50000
N/A

Previous NL Cy Young Winners

NL Cy Young Winner Year
Corbin Burnes 2021
Trevor Bauer 2020
Jacob deGrom 2019
Jacob deGrom 2018
Max Scherzer 2017
Max Scherzer 2016
Jake Arrieta 2015
Clayton Kershaw 2014
Clayton Kershaw 2013
R.A. Dickey 2012
Clayton Kershaw 2011
Roy Halladay 2010
Tim Lincecum 2009
Tim Lincecum 2008
Jake Peavy 2007
Brandon Webb 2006
Chris Carpenter 2005
Roger Clemens 2004
Eric Gagne 2003
Randy Johnson 2002
Randy Johnson 2001
Randy Johnson 2000
MLB NL Cy Young Odds FAQs
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