Three Memorial Day MLB System Bets Offering Value
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Texas Rangers third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Happy Memorial Day!
According to AAA, an estimated 41.5 million Americans are traveling this weekend, likely heading to #GreenDotCity. After all, it is a betting holiday. On Monday there are 74 games and 19 hours of action.
With burgers to eat, beers to drink and a loaded slate, bettors don’t have time to handicap every game. For most of us, gambling isn’t our full-time occupation, but we can bet like a sharp by using Bet Labs to find undervalued teams. Here is one MLB Pro System with three game matches on Monday (1:05 p.m. ET and 4:10 p.m. ET):
Road underdogs in division games are often undervalued in baseball. Since 2005, teams in this situation have gone 4,238-5,648-3 (42.9%) straight-up. Don’t let the losing record fool you, betting these clubs has returned a tidy profit of $14,471 for a $100 bettor (1.5% ROI).
We can improve this system with one additional filter. By betting road dogs in division games that also have a worse record than their opponents, we get a greater return on investment and units won.
Since 2005, visiting underdogs facing a better division opponent have gone 877-1,315 (40%) straight-up. A $100 bettor would have returned a profit of $17,529 for an 8.0% ROI. This MLB Pro System has been profitable for 10 consecutive seasons and 13 of the last 14.
Most of us have Monday off. Enjoy your holiday with three MLB value bets.
Toronto Blue Jays (+168) at Boston Red Sox (1:05 p.m. ET)
The Red Sox opened as -190 favorites and have been bet down to -182 despite 67% of moneyline bets being placed on Boston.
Texas Rangers (+150) at Seattle Mariners (4:10 p.m. ET)
The Rangers have the worst record in the AL West but have won four of their last six games. The last time these teams met Texas was a road underdog in Seattle and beat the Mariners, 5-1.
Chicago White Sox (+170) at Cleveland Indians (4:10 p.m. ET)
This is one of the most lopsided bets on the board. Only 17% of moneyline tickets are on the White Sox. Road underdogs getting fewer than 20% of moneyline bets have gone 518-816 (38.8%) straight-up, +95.33 units.