Labor Day was not the best day to bet with the public.
Of the six most popular teams on Monday, only two actually won. And as is usually the case, all six plays came on favorites, so following them would have left you down more than three units.
Nothing seems to have changed with the public’s tendencies, however, as all three of the most popular bets on Tuesday night are again favorites.
>> All odds as of 3 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Philadelphia Phillies (-144) at Miami Marlins
7:10 p.m. ET
The Phillies are the most popular bet of the night, attracting 84% of bets that account for 82% of dollars. Despite the heavy support for the Phils, their line hasn’t really moved at all, going from -140 to -144 since opening.
Why the public loves Philadelphia: Jake Arrieta vs. the Marlins lineup makes this a pretty predictable public side. The Marlins have produced fewer runs than any other team in baseball this year, and Arrieta enters this game with a solid ERA of 3.54, which is good for 15th in the National League.
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-230)
7:10 p.m. ET
The Indians are listed at -230, but that hasn’t seemed to matter for the 80% of bettors who are behind them. Cleveland has also landed 82% of the money wagered on this game, which has caused this line to rise from -215.
Why the public loves Cleveland: Mike Clevinger has pitched his way into the top 10 in ERA among American League pitchers with a 3.17 mark. Danny Duffy, on the other hand, is up at 4.72. The Royals are also 31 games behind Cleveland in the AL Central and are coming off a 5-1 win over the Tribe last night. To a public bettor, the Royals have no shot at making it two in a row.
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners (-205)
10:10 p.m. ET
With 80% of bets and 91% of dollars behind them, the Mariners are tonight’s second-most popular team. They’ve moved from -185 to -207 as a result.
Why the public loves Seattle: This has far less to do with the Mariners than it does with their opponent. At 40-98, the Orioles are on pace for 47 wins and are 54.5 games back in the AL East. Their run differential is a league-worst -218, and tonight they’re playing behind Alex Cobb’s 5.11 ERA — the sixth-highest among qualified starters this season.