- The over/under (10.5) for tonight's New York Mets-Chicago Cubs game (8:05 p.m. ET) is the highest total for any game started by Noah Syndergaard.
- Wrigley Field's famous winds are largely responsible for this high over/under.
Because Noah Syndergaard has a career ERA of 3.00, it’s no surprise that most of his starts have low closing over/unders. Heading into tonight’s game against Jon Lester and the Chicago Cubs, Syndergaard has never started a game that closed with a total higher than nine, according to Bet Labs.
However, that will change tonight.
Monday’s Mets-Cubs matchup opened with an over/under of 10 and is already up to 10.5, a full 1.5 runs higher than Thor’s previous high.
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Why? Because of that notorious Wrigley Field wind. Tonight’s forecast in Chicago is calling for steady winds between 16 and 17 mph blowing out to left-center.
In his career, Lester has pitched in 25 games with over/unders above 10, the most recent on Aug. 5 against the Padres.
Sixty-six percent of bettors are currently playing the under, but 52% of actual dollars wagered are on the over, indicating more balanced action.
Since the start of the 2005 season, unders are 1,003-951-54 (51.3%) in games with closing over/unders of 10.5 and above.