Because Noah Syndergaard has a career ERA of 3.00, it’s no surprise that most of his starts have low closing over/unders. Heading into tonight’s game against Jon Lester and the Chicago Cubs, Syndergaard has never started a game that closed with a total higher than nine, according to Bet Labs.
However, that will change tonight.
Monday’s Mets-Cubs matchup opened with an over/under of 10 and is already up to 10.5, a full 1.5 runs higher than Thor’s previous high.
>> All odds as of 3 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets
Why? Because of that notorious Wrigley Field wind. Tonight’s forecast in Chicago is calling for steady winds between 16 and 17 mph blowing out to left-center.
In his career, Lester has pitched in 25 games with over/unders above 10, the most recent on Aug. 5 against the Padres.
Sixty-six percent of bettors are currently playing the under, but 52% of actual dollars wagered are on the over, indicating more balanced action.
Since the start of the 2005 season, unders are 1,003-951-54 (51.3%) in games with closing over/unders of 10.5 and above.