CYBER MONDAY -- 50% OFF
Today Only!

MLB Player Props: Can Homer Bailey Strike Out 5 Angels?

Credit:

Apr 23, 2019; St. Petersburg, FL, USA; Kansas City Royals starting pitcher Homer Bailey (21) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

  • Using the FantasyLabs Player Prop model, we've found value on the strikeout over/under for Royals pitcher Homer Bailey.

There is a full day of games on tap for Sunday starting at 1:05 p.m. ET. I’m not one for long intros, so let’s get right into which of today’s MLB player props is worth betting right now!

MLB Player Props: Sunday, April 28

  • Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals : 2:15 p.m. ET

Our FantasyLabs MLB Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Royals SP Homer Bailey


THE PICK: Under 4.0 (-115)

Somehow, Bailey has managed six or more strikeouts in all but one start this year. He’s sporting a 26.7% strikeout rate this season, which is 11.5% higher than his 2018 mark and 7.7% higher than his career average strikeout rate. So, for the sake of this prop, I hope Bailey regresses from his current rate.

He allowed four earned runs against the Rays in his last start and didn’t record a strikeout after making it just one inning.  While four strikeouts aren’t that many and it’s a prime push number, the Angels’ projected lineup has a 17.7% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months — the lowest mark among teams on Sunday.

We’re projecting Bailey for around three strikeouts today. I’d bet this down to -125.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories