Raiders-49ers TNF Betting Preview: Which One-Win Team Provides Value?

Nov 01, 2018 3:40 PM EDT
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Kyle Shanahan, Jon Gruden

Betting odds: Oakland Raiders at San Francisco 49ers

  • Spread: 49ers -2.5
  • Over/Under: 45.5
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX/NFL Network/Amazon Prime

>> All odds as of Wednesday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: At the time of writing, 66% of tickets and 74% of dollars wagered on the spread are on the Raiders, which isn’t all that surprising considering the reports of C.J. Beathard’s injured wrist. The line remains where it opened at 49ers -3, but that will likely move if Beathard can’t go (see live betting data here). — PJ Walsh

Trends and Stats to know: The 49ers could start Nick Mullens at quarterback on Thursday night. Mullens, who has never taken an NFL regular-season snap, has gone 31 of 43 for 396 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions in the preseason. — John Ewing

The 49ers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 against the spread as favorites in 2018. San Fran’s struggles as a favorite shouldn’t be a surprise as the Niners are 1-12 ATS as favorites since 2015.  — Evan Abrams

The 49ers (1-7) and Raiders (1-6) are among the favorites to land the No. 1 pick in the 2019 NFL draft. The loser of this matchup will have the inside track for the top pick. Since 2003, when two teams that have won 30% or fewer of their games meet in Week 9 or later of the season, the favorite has gone 39-25 straight up. — John Ewing

Sometimes these Thursday Night Football games leave a lot to be desired both as a fan and as a bettor, but this game is still an outlier.

This is just the third time since 2003 that two teams with winning percentages of 20% or lower meet in prime time in November or later. The last time was Week 16 in 2014 when the 2-12 Titans lost, 21-13, to the 2-12 Jaguars. The Jags covered as four-point favorites. — Evan Abrams

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