MLB Daily Betting Model, 5/22: Another Chance to Back Tampa Bay as a Home Underdog

May 22, 2019 12:45 PM EDT

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tampa Bay Rays relief pitcher Ryne Stanek

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps to find edges in betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and First 5 (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes the full slate of games on May 22 with his model below, and highlights Rays-Dodgers (7:10 p.m. ET) and Phillies-Cubs (8:05 p.m. ET) as potential edges.
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

There’s afternoon baseball today, so we don’t have time to waste.

Get in that box and get set, a full slate will be coming your way before you know it:

Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model

At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 3-2 against full-game moneylines, and 2-1 against moneylines for the first five innings (F5).

My tracked plays went 5-3, and I was up 1.15 units for the day.

Tuesday was a positive day in terms of generating Closing Line Value (CLV).

I gained 23 cents on the Reds F5 moneyline (+135 to +112), 20 cents on their F5 spread (-110 to -130), 22 cents on the Blue Jays F5 moneyline (+145 to +123) 15 cents on the Phillies moneyline (+128 to +113), 9 cents on the Twins F5 line (+100 to -109), and only lost 2 cents on the Rays line (+128 to +130) and 4 cents on the Rangers F5 line (-125 to -121).

On Deck for Wednesday, May 22

All odds as of Wednesday morning (view live odds). Stay tuned on Twitter or follow me in The Action Network App for my entire betting card for Wednesday, May 22. 

The model recommends six full-game moneylines and one moneyline for the first five innings (F5) on Wednesday. 

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Zerillo on Twitter

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