Tuesday’s WNBA Odds, Predictions, Picks & Injury News For All 3 Games (May 25)
Joshua Huston/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: DeWanna Bonner, Breanna Stewart
- An under. An under. And a 4.5-point two-team teaser.
- Basketball betting analyst Michael Arinze previews Tuesday night's WNBA slate.
- Find his breakdowns for Mystics-Fever, Dream-Sky and Sun-Storm outlined below.
It's been amazing to watch the level of competition in the WNBA this season.
Who would have predicted that the Connecticut Sun would be the only undefeated team remaining in the league? Who saw the New York Liberty's rapid ascension from a team that won just two games last season to a team with the second-best record in the league at 5-1?
If you've yet to tune in to the WNBA, the league has three games on the schedule for Tuesday. We'll break them all down with our projections and toss in some best bets!
Projected WNBA Odds
| Click on a matchup to skip ahead | |||
| Matchup | Time | Proj. Spread | Proj. Total |
| Mystics at Fever | 7 p.m. ET | Pick'em | 155.83 |
| Dream at Sky | 8 p.m. ET | Sky -6.38 | 156.85 |
| Sun at Storm | 10 p.m. ET | Storm -1.21 | 165.5 |
Mystics vs. Fever Odds
| Mystics Odds | -2 |
| Fever Odds | +2 |
| Moneyline | -134/+107 |
| Over/Under | 162.5 |
| Time | 7 p.m. ET |
| Odds as of Tuesday and via DraftKings. | |
Injuries & News
Elena Delle Donne is the only Mystics player who has been officially ruled out. Natasha Cloud (9.3 PPG) also joins EDD on the injury report as questionable with an ankle injury.
Indiana has three players listed on the injury report: Jantel Lavender (6.5 PPG) is questionable with a foot injury while Bernadett Hatar (6.7 PPG) has been ruled out with an ankle injury.
Aaliyah Wilson's injury (foot) is more serious as the 11th overall pick in the 2021 WNBA Draft is not expected to return until late June.
Mystics Are A Mystery
The Mystics have been one of the more difficult teams to figure out this season. After walloping the Liberty 101-72, the Mystics turned around and lost to the Fever 89-77 in the very next game.
All three of Washington's losses this season have been by double-digits.
The Delle Donne injury is still a mystery as there hasn't been much news, if any, regarding her expected return. Before the season, the former two-time MVP stated that she was hopeful of playing in the season opener. Well, we're four games into the season and there's still no sight of her.
Frankly, I'm not a bit surprised that the Fever is favored in this rematch, considering that my model makes this game essentially a pick'em. It shows that even bookmakers are befuddled with how to price this Mystics team that was power rated much higher than the Fever team.
It remains to be seen if we'll get a response out of the Mystics in this game. Considering that both teams only played two days ago, I don't think we'll see as many points scored this time around.
My model is fairly bearish on the total with a 155.83 projection compared to 163.5, which is where it opened at. However, the number is starting to move in my direction as it's already been bet down as low as 162 at some sportsbooks (compare real-time odds here).
The under in this game would also be a good candidate to add as a leg to a 4.5 point teaser at +103 odds.
Pick: Under 163.5 at bet365. I would play it down to 162, which is readily available.
Dream vs. Sky Odds
| Dream Odds | +6.5 |
| Sky Odds | -6.5 |
| Moneyline | +230/-295 |
| Over/Under | 169.5 |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| Odds as of Tuesday and via DraftKings. | |
Injuries & News
Cheyenne Parker is the only player listed on Atlanta's injury report. She remains on the league's health and safety protocol list and has yet to feature this season.
Chicago's injury report is more ominous as Allie Quigley (7 PPG) and Stefanie Dolson (4 PPG) are already ruled out. In comparison, Candace Parker (16 PPG) is listed as doubtful for the second straight game.
Dream Starting To Figure Things Out
The Atlanta Dream are off to a 1-2 start this season, but their first two games were against the Sun and the Sky, who have a combined 7-1 record with a +17.5 point differential.
Atlanta is -5 in point differential, and the Dream outscored the Sky 51-39 in the second half of their May 19 meeting. The Dream then parlayed that performance into an 83-79 road victory over the Indiana Fever.
Parker didn't play in the first meeting, and she's unlikely to play in this game. I think Atlanta's young team is coming along nicely, and I like the Dream's chances to continue to improve. They haven't looked outmatched in their games, and the fact that they played the Sky just six days ago could be an advantage.
The team that loses the game is often the more likely one to adjust. Recent familiarity should be key in this matchup.
Chicago opened as a 7-point favorite, but that number's already ticking down to -6.5. I tend to agree with the move, but Atlanta would be more useful if added to the teaser's second leg with the under in the Mystics-Fever game.
Pick: Two-team 4.5-point teaser (+103) — Dream at +11 & Mystics-Fever Under 168
Sun vs. Storm Odds
| Sun Odds | +3.5 |
| Storm Odds | -3.5 |
| Moneyline | +135/-165 |
| Over/Under | 162.5 |
| Time | 10 p.m. ET |
| Odds as of Tuesday and via FanDuel. | |
Injuries & News
The Connecticut Sun find themselves in a bit of controversy after their head coach Curt Miller made inappropriate comments about a player (Liz Cambage) on an opposing team while trying to appeal to the referees for a foul.
The league responded with a one-game suspension for the coach and a $10,000 fine to the Sun organization. It's a disappointing blemish for the coach and Connecticut, as it's gotten off to a 5-0 start despite not having Alyssa Thomas for the entire season due to a torn Achilles.
Briann January (7.0 PPG) is another player on the injury list for the Sun as she'll miss her third straight game with an ankle injury.
Katie Lou Samuelson (9 PPG) is the only player out for the Storm as she's currently involved in qualifying for the inaugural 3x3 basketball tournament that will debut at the Olympics this summer.
Storm Will Set The Tempo
The Seattle Storm are ranked third in the league in terms of pace with 84.12 possessions per 40 minutes. They're also second with a 52.7% mark in effective field goals, which adjusts to account for 3-point vs. 2-point field goals. The fact that they're able to stay above 50% in this statistic is impressive, considering they attempt 25.5 3-pointers per game and are second with 9.5 (37.3%) three-point field goals per game.
While Connecticut is in last in pace with 75.8 possessions per game. The Sun are third in the league with nine 3-pointers per game. They're also the second-most efficient team in 3-pointers with a 39.8% field goal percentage.
My model projects at least 80 possessions for both teams in this game, which should help eclipse the total which is set at 163.5 points:
It doesn't hurt that the total has gone over in all four of the Storm's games this season. I like that trend to continue yet again when they take on the Sun.
Pick: Over 162.5 at FanDuel (up to 165)
How would you rate this article?
Follow Us On Social
