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NASCAR Betting 101
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NASCAR Expert Picks
Jordan McAbee
1d ago
Last 30d: 8-28-0 (+3.2u)
Ty Gibbs +1000 (Live)
Food City 500
0.25u
Live
3
Dale Tanhardt
1d ago
Last 30d: 14-48-0 (+16.7u)
Kyle Larson +550
Food City 500
0.8u
9
Jim Sannes
1d ago
Last 30d: 3-22-0 (-9.4u)
Bubba Wallace +3200
Food City 500
0.2u
This isn't Wallace's best track, but he showed big improvements last year at Darlington and Richmond, which share some characteristics with Bristol. Even when you ding Wallace for being in the faster group yesterday, his practice times were still really good, and he qualified ninth. The track history is the biggest concern here, but my model has Wallace at 5.4% to win, up from 3.0% implied.
19
Brad Keselowski +2400
Food City 500
0.3u
Keselowski was fast in practice once you adjust for his being in the slower group. He qualified 17th, but that's not a huge concern for me over a long race. Kez was great on tracks with similar characteristics last year, and his teammate won here in 2022. I've got Kez at 6.7% to win, up from 4.0% implied.
14
Dale Tanhardt
1d ago
Last 30d: 14-48-0 (+16.7u)
Erik Jones +9000
Food City 500
0.1u
Line via FanDuel
9
Brad Keselowski +2400
Food City 500
0.5u
Line via FanDuel
10
Chase Elliott +1400
Food City 500
0.6u
Line via FanDuel
11
Josh Berry +13000
Food City 500
0.1u
Line via FanDuel:
6:25AM EST: FanDuel has some wild lines this morning. Major discrepancy here vs nearly every other book. We’re looking at 33-1 on some books.
Berry qualified 2nd, he’s a short-track ace, and his crew chief Rodney Childers had major success here with Kevin Harvick. 130-1 is worth a penny.
12
Nick Giffen
2d ago
Last 30d: 14-67-0 (+3.7u)
Ross Chastain +2800
Food City 500
0.4u
132
Green Dot Daily
3d ago
Last 30d: 2-5-0 (+1.7u)
Ryan Blaney -115 vs William Byron
Food City 500
0.87u
@nick_giffen
1