Where in America Are You Most Likely to See the Supermoon Clearly?

If you’ve ever stepped outside to catch the glow of a full Supermoon lighting up the night sky, you’re not alone. In 2025, Americans have been looking up more than ever, turning celestial events into viral moments and planning trips around stargazing, moonrises, and other night-sky experiences.

But while everyone can enjoy the moonrise, not every state offers the same viewing conditions. Factors like cloud cover, humidity, and light pollution can make or break your shot at a crystal-clear Supermoon, and now, there’s data to back it up.

The odds experts at The Action Network have created an implied probability and its equivalent moneyline odds based on sky clarity, elevation, and atmospheric conditions across all 50 states, forming the Supermoon Visibility Index. This reveals where in America you’re most likely to witness November’s lunar show in all its glory.

Top States to See the Supermoon Clearly in 2025

These are the 10 best states to view November’s Supermoon, based on our composite Supermoon Visibility Index and their corresponding implied probability of a clear view.

1. Arizona (Implied Probability: 4.66% | Moneyline Odds: +2046)

Arizona leads the nation for Supermoon visibility thanks to its near-perfect combination of clear skies, low humidity, and high elevation.

• Average Elevation: 4,100 feet — among the highest in the U.S.
• Average Clear Days: 17.2 — among the highest in the U.S.
• Average Humidity: 33% — one of the driest in the nation.
• Darkness Score: 4.13 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1 and seven Bortle 2 sites.

Arizona’s mix of high elevation and dry desert air creates some of the clearest night skies anywhere in America, giving it nearly perfect conditions for moon-watching.

2. New Mexico (Implied Probability: 4.64% | Moneyline Odds: +2056)

New Mexico ranks second with an exceptional mix of dark skies and elevation.

• Average Elevation: 5,700 feet — one of the highest in the U.S.
• Average Clear Days: 15.3 — among the highest nationally.
• Average Humidity: 40% — very dry, ideal for sky clarity.
• Darkness Score: 4.24 / 5 — includes four Bortle 1 and 13 Bortle 2 sites.

Even with slightly fewer clear days than Arizona, New Mexico’s high elevation and low humidity make it a near-perfect environment for Supermoon viewing.

3. Colorado (Implied Probability: 3.98% | Moneyline Odds: +2413)

Colorado’s “mile-high” geography ensures bright lunar visibility even with moderate humidity.

• Average Elevation: 6,800 feet — the highest in the U.S.
• Average Clear Days: 11.8 — moderate but consistent.
• Average Humidity: 46.8% — mid-range nationally.
• Darkness Score: 4.11 / 5 — includes two Bortle 1 and 17 Bortle 2 sites.

Although its clear-day count isn’t the highest, Colorado’s exceptional altitude more than compensates, keeping its skies crisp and bright for moon-watchers.

4. California (Implied Probability: 3.89% | Moneyline Odds: +2471)

From the Sierra Nevada to Death Valley, California’s vast geography delivers plenty of viewing options.

• Average Elevation: 2,900 feet — moderate, diverse terrain.
• Average Clear Days: 12.1 — strong for a coastal state.
• Average Humidity: 54.5% — moderate moisture.
• Darkness Score: 4.18 / 5 — includes seven Bortle 1 and 32 Bortle 2 sites.

California’s balanced mix of desert dryness and dark-sky zones allows for consistently good viewing, even in areas with higher humidity.

5. Nevada (Implied Probability: 3.53% | Moneyline Odds: +2733)

Nevada’s dry, sparsely populated deserts translate to some of the clearest skies in the nation.

• Average Elevation: 5,500 feet — among the highest in the U.S.
• Average Clear Days: 10.2 — steady for desert regions.
• Average Humidity: 41.6% — very low and ideal for stargazing.
• Darkness Score: 4.40 / 5 — one of the darkest scores nationwide.

Despite fewer clear days than top performers, Nevada’s unmatched darkness and dry climate make it one of the purest places to view the Supermoon.

6. Utah (Implied Probability: 3.26% | Moneyline Odds: +2968)

Utah’s mix of national parks and remote deserts earns it a strong spot in the top 10.

• Average Elevation: 6,100 feet — among the highest in the U.S.
• Average Clear Days: 9.5 — moderate for desert climates.
• Average Humidity: 60% — slightly high but manageable.
• Darkness Score: 4.26 / 5 — includes six Bortle 1 and 17 Bortle 2 sites.

Although Utah’s humidity runs higher than other desert states, its abundance of dark-sky parks keeps visibility excellent.

7. Texas (Implied Probability: 2.94% | Moneyline Odds: +3292)

Texas shines bright with a strong mix of open skies and desert air in the west.

• Average Elevation: 1,700 feet — moderate statewide.
• Average Clear Days: 11.9 — steady November clarity.
• Average Humidity: 53.2% — mid-range but manageable.
• Darkness Score: 3.93 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1, 12 Bortle 2, and two Bortle 3 sites.

While Texas faces some humidity in the east, its vast western deserts balance the odds with clear, open horizons.

8. Oklahoma (Implied Probability: 2.68% | Moneyline Odds: +3629)

Oklahoma’s wide-open plains create strong visibility despite slightly higher humidity levels.

• Average Elevation: 1,300 feet — moderate plains elevation.
• Average Clear Days: 11.5 — consistent through November.
• Average Humidity: 54.5% — slightly above average.
• Darkness Score: 3.47 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1, five Bortle 2, and nine Bortle 3 sites.

Even with a touch more humidity, Oklahoma’s flat landscapes and broad horizons keep visibility impressively strong.

9. Kansas (Implied Probability: 2.62% | Moneyline Odds: +3718)

Kansas may not have mountains, but its stable conditions and open atmosphere make for dependable viewing.

• Average Elevation: 2,000 feet — moderate plains height.
• Average Clear Days: 11 — steady for central U.S. conditions.
• Average Humidity: 56.2% — moderate overall.
• Darkness Score: 4.00 / 5 — includes 11 Bortle 2 sites.

Kansas balances moderate humidity with reliable darkness, making it one of the most consistent viewing states in the central U.S.

10. Wyoming (Implied Probability: 2.61% | Moneyline Odds: +3733)

Wyoming rounds out the top 10 with a combination of altitude and pristine dark skies.

• Average Elevation: 6,700 feet — one of the highest in the nation.
• Average Clear Days: 7.8 — lower, but offset by elevation and darkness.
• Average Humidity: 56.8% — moderate levels.
• Darkness Score: 4.33 / 5 — among the darkest nationwide.

Though Wyoming has fewer clear days, its clean air and remarkable altitude keep its night skies stunningly clear.

Notable Mentions Beyond the Top 10

While the top 10 states dominate for sky clarity and elevation, several others also show strong potential for November’s Supermoon — particularly across the South and Mid-Atlantic regions, where consistent autumn weather and moderate humidity make for dependable viewing conditions.

Georgia (Rank 11): The highest-ranking Southeastern state benefits from steady, clear days and relatively dry air, earning a darkness score of 3.29 / 5. Although lower in elevation, rural farmlands outside Atlanta still provide excellent visibility.

South Carolina & North Carolina (Ranks 12–13): Both hover near the 2.3–2.5% probability range. North Carolina edges slightly higher thanks to Appalachian dark-sky zones, while South Carolina’s coastal plains face higher humidity but clearer horizons.

Arkansas (Rank 14): Records a strong darkness score of 4.00 / 5, supported by moderate humidity and stable November weather.

Nebraska (Rank 15): Pairs higher elevation with low humidity (just under 56%), giving observers crisp skies across much of the state.

Virginia, Alabama, and Tennessee (Ranks 16–18): These states balance good darkness scores (3.3–3.5) with manageable humidity, offering moderate but steady visibility across the Southeast.

Louisiana (Rank 20): Despite low elevation, Louisiana’s rural northern skies remain promising when humidity levels are favorable, achieving an implied probability of 2% for clear viewing.

States Least Likely to See the Supermoon Clearly in 2025

While the Southwest dominates for clear skies and dry air, several northern and coastal states face the opposite challenge, battling cloud cover, high humidity, and unpredictable November weather. These are the 10 states with the lowest Supermoon Visibility Index scores and the smallest implied probabilities of seeing the Supermoon clearly this year.

41. Minnesota (Implied Probability: 1.26% | Moneyline Odds: +7879)

Minnesota’s long, overcast Novembers and high humidity keep the state near the bottom of the list.

• Average Elevation: 1,200 feet — low overall.
• Average Clear Days: 5 — among the lowest in the U.S.
• Average Humidity: 68.6% — among the highest nationally.
• Darkness Score: 4.06 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1 and fifteen Bortle 2 sites.

Despite excellent darkness, Minnesota’s constant cloud cover and moisture-filled air make clear Supermoon views rare.

42. Maine (Implied Probability: 1.15% | Moneyline Odds: +8686)

Maine’s coastal position brings persistent moisture and fog during November nights.

• Average Elevation: 600 feet — one of the lowest in the country.
• Average Clear Days: 5 — among the lowest in the U.S.
• Average Humidity: 65.5% — high for visibility.
• Darkness Score: 4.09 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1 and ten Bortle 2 sites.

Although Maine enjoys dark rural areas, its heavy coastal fog and low elevation limit clear-sky opportunities.

43. Wisconsin (Implied Probability: 1.12% | Moneyline Odds: +8936)

Wisconsin’s lake-effect clouds and chilly fall humidity make clear nights rare.

• Average Elevation: 1,050 feet — low overall.
• Average Clear Days: 5.3 — very few.
• Average Humidity: 65.5% — high nationally.
• Darkness Score: 3.40 / 5 — includes four Bortle 2 and six Bortle 3 sites.

Even with moments of crisp visibility, Wisconsin’s frequent clouds and heavy humidity reduce its Supermoon chances significantly.

44. North Dakota (Implied Probability: 1.12% | Moneyline Odds: +8936)

North Dakota’s clear horizons are often overshadowed by cold fronts and fast-moving clouds.

• Average Elevation: 1,900 feet — moderate plains height.
• Average Clear Days: 5.7 — among the lowest in the study.
• Average Humidity: 68.3% — very high.
• Darkness Score: 3.17 / 5 — includes one Bortle 2 and five Bortle 3 sites.

Though its wide horizons promise broad views, North Dakota’s high humidity and shifting cloud patterns often spoil them.

45. Indiana (Implied Probability: 1.06% | Moneyline Odds: +9364)

Indiana ranks low due to a lack of dark-sky zones and frequent overcast conditions.

• Average Elevation: 700 feet — low and flat.
• Average Clear Days: 5.8 — limited clarity.
• Average Humidity: 63.8% — high for visibility.
• Darkness Score: 2.00 / 5 — among the lowest in the U.S.

Indiana’s urban light spread and thick November clouds make clear moon views extremely uncommon.

46. Michigan (Implied Probability: 1.00% | Moneyline Odds: +9900)

Michigan’s Great Lakes moisture makes it one of the toughest states for skywatching in November.

• Average Elevation: 900 feet — low.
• Average Clear Days: 2.9 — one of the lowest in the nation.
• Average Humidity: 68.4% — among the highest nationwide.
• Darkness Score: 4.05 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1 and twenty Bortle 2 sites.

Even with several dark-sky parks, Michigan’s persistent cloud cover and high humidity almost erase its visibility odds.

47. New York (Implied Probability: 0.91% | Moneyline Odds: +10987)

New York’s humidity and heavy urban lighting bring down its visibility rating.

• Average Elevation: 1,000 feet — moderate.
• Average Clear Days: 2.6 — among the lowest in the study.
• Average Humidity: 62.3% — high moisture.
• Darkness Score: 3.16 / 5 — includes one Bortle 1, one Bortle 2, and seventeen Bortle 3 sites.

Rural upstate regions occasionally deliver great views, but haze and city glow dominate much of New York’s skies.

48. Ohio (Implied Probability: 0.86% | Moneyline Odds: +11528)

Ohio’s low elevation and inland humidity create dim viewing prospects this November.

• Average Elevation: 850 feet — among the lowest overall.
• Average Clear Days: 4.3 — very few.
• Average Humidity: 63.6% — high.
• Darkness Score: 3.00 / 5 — includes four Bortle 3 sites.

Although Ohio has open terrain, its cloudy, humid conditions leave only rare windows for visibility.

49. Vermont (Implied Probability: 0.82% | Moneyline Odds: +12190)

Vermont’s mountain regions offer dark skies but few clear nights.

• Average Elevation: 1,000 feet — moderate but cloud-prone.
• Average Clear Days: 3 — extremely low.
• Average Humidity: 64% — high humidity limits clarity.
• Darkness Score: 4.00 / 5 — includes eight Bortle 2 sites.

The state’s scenic darkness is outweighed by constant autumn cloud cover, keeping the Supermoon mostly hidden.

50. Washington (Implied Probability: 0.75% | Moneyline Odds: +13233)

Washington ranks last for Supermoon visibility due to its cloud-heavy skies and persistently high humidity in November.

• Average Elevation: 1,700 feet — moderate statewide.
• Average Clear Days: 3.3 — lowest in the country.
• Average Humidity: 75.5% — highest in the country.
• Darkness Score: 4.00 / 5 — includes fifteen Bortle 2 sites.

Despite its strong dark-sky zones east of the Cascades, Washington’s persistent cloud cover and heavy atmospheric moisture make clear Supermoon views almost impossible.

Curious where your state ranks? Explore the full Supermoon Visibility Index to see how all 50 U.S. states compare for sky clarity, darkness, and humidity this November

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Ideal Conditions for Seeing and Photographing the Supermoon Clearly

A clear night is only part of the equation. Visibility comes down to timing, dryness in the air, and having a clean view of the horizon. Based on guidance from NASA and major observatories, here are the conditions that give you the best chance of seeing the Supermoon clearly and capturing it in detail:

• Watch around moonrise or moonset: The Supermoon appears largest when it is low on the horizon. This is when the “moon illusion” is strongest and landmarks like mountains or city skylines can make the view feel more dramatic.

• Choose a wide, open horizon: Look for a location with an unobstructed view to the east or west. Hilltops, lakefront areas, desert overlooks, and open fields work especially well.

• Aim for dry, stable air: Low humidity and higher elevation reduce haze and atmospheric distortion. This makes the Moon appear sharper and brighter to the eye and the camera.

• Avoid light pollution: City lights reduce contrast and soften detail. Even moving 20 to 30 minutes away from dense urban areas can noticeably improve visibility.

• Keep your camera steady: Whether you are using a DSLR or your phone, set it on a stable surface such as a tripod, railing, or parked car roof. This helps preserve detail on the lunar surface and prevents motion blur.

Supermoon Visibility Index — Methodology

To identify which U.S. states offer the clearest views of November’s Supermoon, The Action Network analyzed a range of environmental and atmospheric conditions to create the Supermoon Visibility Index.

Metrics Considered

• Elevation (Higher = Better): Indicates the average elevation per state (in feet). Higher elevation reduces haze and light scatter, leading to sharper, brighter lunar views.
• Clear Days (Higher = Better): Represents the average number of clear (CL) days in November, based on NOAA’s CLPCDY23 dataset. Only clear days were counted — partly cloudy (PC) and cloudy days were excluded.
• Humidity (Lower = Better): Uses the average afternoon relative humidity for November, sourced from NOAA’s RELHUM23 dataset. Drier air improves sky clarity and reduces atmospheric distortion.
• Darkness Score (higher = Better): A proxy for light pollution derived from the distribution of Bortle 1–5 sites per state. Lower Bortle values (1–2) indicate darker skies and better visibility.

Weighting Breakdown

• Clear Days: 40%
• Humidity: 25%
• Darkness Score: 20%
• Elevation: 15%

Formula: (0.40 × Clear Days Score) + (0.25 × Humidity Score) + (0.20 × Darkness Score) + (0.15 × Elevation Score)

Each state received a composite score between 0 and 100, with higher scores indicating better overall conditions for observing the Supermoon.

Finally, Action Network’s odds experts converted these index scores into implied probabilities and American moneyline odds, revealing where in the U.S. skywatchers are most likely to experience November’s Supermoon in full clarity.