Braves vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2023

Braves at Cubs

6:20 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

8 - 0

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-110	o9-110	-180
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-110	u9-115	+150

Friday 6:20 p.m.

August 04, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 8.5-112

0.5u

Bet to -117

Featured Insight
Cubs Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB. BravesRPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters since last season -- second-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Braves have answered-back in 38% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- second-highest in MLB. Cubs have allowed a run 32% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB.

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A 60% MLB System Pick for Braves vs. Cubs
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The Braves are just 6-11 (.353) after a win as underdogs since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Ronald Acuna is batting .341 on fastballs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Kyle Hendricks has thrown fastballs 59% of the time this season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Austin Riley is batting .285 on breaking pitches since last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Michael Fulmer has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (135 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.2 MPH on changeups since last season (80 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 86.5

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 4th	CIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 10.5	CHC -162
Aug 3rd	CIN	W 16-6	-1.5 W	O 11	CHC -163
Aug 2nd	CIN	W 20-9	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -168
Aug 1st	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -126
Jul 30th	@STL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	STL +114

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LM.Fried, P	72	6	8
LB. Hand, P	17	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	12	1	2
RC. McHugh, P	17	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	3-5	1	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
5S.Murphy, C	1-3	1	1	2
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	1	1
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	72	4	3	7
RH.Wesneski, P	50	3	1	1
RJ.Cuas, P	13	1	1	0
RT.Barnhart, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Madrigal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2C.Morel, SS	0-1	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, CF	2-3	0	0	0
4M.Tauchman, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5Y.Gomes, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Suzuki, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0