About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.
More from Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo's Picks
Today
Over 2.5-104
TOT
0
0
LEE
0.26u
45'
8
Over 3.5+141
HUL
@
ARS
0.25u
11/07 3:00 PM
7
Under 50.5+106
ISU
@
BAY
0.25u
11/07 5:00 PM
8
Under 53.5-114
VAL
@
DAY
0.28u
11/07 5:00 PM
7
SVW +0.5+106
SVW
@
VFB
0.25u
11/07 5:30 PM
7
Over 51.5-114
MGN
@
DLS
0.28u
11/07 6:00 PM
6
STU -106
STU
@
DAV
0.27u
11/07 6:00 PM
7
Over 51.5-113
TA&M
@
SC
0.28u
11/07 8:00 PM
8
Over 26.5 (1H)-113
TA&M
@SC
0.28u
11/07 8:00 PM
6
Under 47.5-108
CHA
@
UAB
0.27u
11/07 8:30 PM
5
CHA +8.5-102
CHA
@UAB
0.26u
11/07 8:30 PM
6
Under 54.5-102
MRSH
@
GASO
0.26u
11/07 8:30 PM
5
Under 61.5-111
CIN
@
HOU
0.28u
11/07 8:30 PM
5
Under 30.5 (1H)+104
CIN
@HOU
0.25u
11/07 8:30 PM
4
Murtazali Magomedov -105 vs Jose Delano
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.53u
Going to start adding more UFC early in the week. Price currently -120 to -130 on Pinnacle and Exchanges. Would take to -115
20
Mitch Raposo +195 vs Marcos Degli
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.25u
Smaller to +180. May prefer +3.5 spread
12
2-WAY PARLAY-160
0.4u
Prop Bet: Kondratavicius wins in Round 1 or Round 2
Mantas Kondratavicius -300 vs Andre Petroski
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
Andre Petroski vs Mantas Kondratavicius Under 2 Rounds-350
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
6
Silva -3.5 Points-125
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.31u
Bet to -150
4
Borna Gojo -180 vs Mika Brunold
ATP Stockholm, Sweden - Qualification Round 1
0.25u
5
Pending
Under 55.5-120
MIA
@
ND
0.3u
11/08 12:30 AM
2
Under 27.5 (1H)-107
MIA
@ND
0.27u
11/08 12:30 AM
6
Raposo +3.5 Points+105
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.1u
Bet to +100
3
GSW -6.5+100
ORL
@
GSW
0.25u
11/08 1:30 AM
6
Fernando wins ITD+115
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.25u
Bet to +100
3
Tatiana Suarez -200 vs Virna Jandiroba
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.5u
Bet to -215
8
Waldo Cortes-Acosta -210 vs Johnny Walker
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.53u
Bet to -270
7
Cortes-Acosta wins by TKO/KO-110
UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker
0.28u
Bet to -120
6
Under 71.5-106
TXST
@
ORST
0.27u
11/08 3:30 AM
3
Under 37.5 (1H)-113
TXST
@ORST
0.24u
11/08 3:30 AM
2
Futures
Tarik Skubal+400
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.4u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
50
Cristopher Sanchez+1200
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
49
Juan Soto+800
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.2u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
54
Gunnar Henderson+2250
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
46
Chase DeLauter+2500
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
52
Bubba Chandler+1400
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
57
McGonigle+600
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.4u
HardRock. My updated projected favorite assuming he makes OD roster and if not will be back in 2 week. Bet to +400
Okamoto also +EV at this point with Yesavage down but still have him second; McGonigle projects better for WAR the only question was playing time
62
Wetherholt+600
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.25u
Bet to +350. Projection improves and becomes a slightly clearer favorite in my model with Griffin going down for seasoning. Some McLean prices +EV too but proj. Closer to +340; bigger edge and safer investment/lower injury risk on JJ
63
Julio Rodriguez+1500
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
21
Yordan Alvarez+3500
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
24
Bryce Harper+5000
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.05u
20
Bryan Woo+2500
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
16
Dylan Cease+4000
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
18
George Kirby+4000
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
20
Logan Webb+200
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
19
Jesus Luzardo+4000
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
HardRock. NEWLY ADDED - i actually placed this and discussed this in my article but didnt track it in there or here. Bet to +2500
25
Carson Williams+6600
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
22
Jett Williams+5500
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
21
Carson Benge+2500
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
HardRock
17
Mason Miller+8000
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.02u
Added 4/10. Does not have to be a big bet but you need a ticket at this point bc we are reaching or exceeding 2003 Eric Gagne levels of dominance
129
Bobby Witt+320
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.5u
Added 6/4. Projected +225; bet to +250. Have Yordan ticket but project Witt to finish 2 WAR above him (current 0.7). Judge injury news very strange - first his shoulder now his ribs and has the permanent toe issue to boot. IL seems increasingly likely and don’t think he will be 100% ROS
48
Pete Crow-Armstrong+230
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.54u
Added 7/27. Projected +140. Bet to +150. Leading Ohtani by 1 WAR (both fWAR and bWAR), and Ohtani has 5 projected starts and 14-17 HR baked into his ROS numbers while rocking an 82 WRC+ in July on an injured knee. Freddie Freeman won a WS MVP on one leg, but I think Ohtani is still likelier to get shut down for a bit than hit either of those stat benchmarks
41
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 6-5-0 | 55% | 0.36u |
| Last 7 Days | 48-36-0 | 57% | 2.05u |
| Last 30 Days | 136-123-5 | 52% | 3.79u |
| All Time | 14772-15753-1101 | 47% | 117.39u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 8115-8626-819 | 46% | 131.16u |
| NFL | 1417-1210-45 | 53% | 37.84u |
| UFC | 1521-2067-18 | 42% | 19.84u |
| World Baseball Classic | 50-24-1 | 67% | 19.23u |
| Champions | 104-85-9 | 53% | 8.95u |
| NBA | 537-482-13 | 52% | 8.71u |
| WTA | 125-116-8 | 50% | 8.68u |
| World Cup | 35-42-3 | 44% | 7.69u |
| La Liga | 86-77-15 | 48% | 4.36u |
| European Championship | 18-14-2 | 53% | 2.38u |
| UFL | 6-5-0 | 55% | 1.78u |
| MENS_OLYMPIC_HOCKEY | 4-0-0 | 100% | 1.21u |
| Serie A | 116-107-19 | 48% | 0.89u |
| WNBA | 6-3-0 | 67% | 0.82u |
| Boxing | 2-2-0 | 50% | 0.10u |
| MLS | 47-39-16 | 46% | -0.22u |
| Europa League | 0-1-1 | 0% | -0.58u |
| Golf | 12-66-0 | 15% | -2.36u |
| NASCAR | 0-14-0 | 0% | -2.81u |
| Bundesliga | 111-115-20 | 45% | -3.11u |
| Premier League | 225-249-46 | 43% | -14.33u |
| ATP | 253-319-9 | 44% | -19.79u |
| NHL | 517-604-0 | 46% | -24.35u |
| NCAAB | 636-650-17 | 49% | -30.25u |
| NCAAF | 806-808-38 | 49% | -47.84u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I only remember the bad beats.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
In 2012, I bet Josh Hamilton (+4000) to finish as the MLB HR king. He hit 43 home runs, with his last coming on September 24th. Miguel Cabrera tied Hamilton on September 29th, and surpassed him on October 1st — with two games remaining in the season.