About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.
More from Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo's Picks
Today
Pending
Rafa Garcia +3.5 Points-160
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
0.4u
10
Gantt Over 2.5 Takedowns-125
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
0.13u
8
Futures
Seattle Mariners+130
2026 MLB AL West - To Win
1u
My Projection: 69.1% (-224 implied odds)
Avg. Public Projections = 62.5% (high of 66%)
Low projection is 59%. Bet to -130
Full stake is 1.5u
135
Seattle Mariners o89.5-120
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.2u
Bet to 93
150
Seattle Mariners+600
2026 MLB American League - To Win
1u
Bet to +400
143
Detroit Tigers+165
2026 MLB AL Central - To Win
1.5u
My Projection: 45.9% (+118 implied)
Avg. Public Projections = 46.8% (high of 54.8%)
Bet to +125
119
Seattle Mariners+130
2026 MLB AL West - To Win
0.5u
Stake is 1.5
41
Brent Rooker o28.5-120
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.3u
To reiterate, you can find team futures here - i will enter them in App on Monday: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets
Will release player stat props this week, but this is the biggest prop edge on the board IMO
Avg. Projection: 33.6; Low of 30 from Steamer, high of 36 from ZIPS DC.
My sim makes the fair line -182 for 30+ and would take it to -150. Also a nice edge on 40+ at +450 for Rooker - will discuss this prop and others in the stat leaders articles this week
77
Cincinnati Reds u83.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 81.5
68
Colorado Rockies o51.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 52
34
Houston Astros u86.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 84.5
74
Milwaukee Brewers o84.5-106
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.06u
Bet to 86
73
Minnesota Twins u74.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.58u
Bet to 73.5
61
New York Yankees u92.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 91.5
50
Pittsburgh Pirates o76.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 78.5
56
Philadelphia Phillies u90.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 90
33
San Diego Padres u85.5-114
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.14u
Bet to 83
69
St. Louis Cardinals o69.5+100
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
Bet to 70.5
80
Tampa Bay Rays o76.5+100
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet to 78.5
75
Pittsburgh Pirates o77.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 78.5
35
Houston Astros u85.5-106
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.53u
Bet to 84.5.
32
Detroit Tigers+165
2026 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.5u
Updated stake = 2u. Bet to +100
50
Houston Astros No+155
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1u
Bet to -150
74
San Diego Padres No+135
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.75u
Bet to -110
61
Miami Marlins o72.5-108
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.08u
Bet to 73.5. Had Over in article - accidentally tracked Under in App initially. Bet is OVER - my apologies for any confusion
63
Framber Valdez+3000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
65
Logan Webb+2000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
58
Bryan Woo+5000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.05u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
66
Andres Munoz+1600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
61
Devin Williams+1600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
52
Shohei Ohtani+1400
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.15u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
71
Kyle Schwarber+3500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
65
Chandler Simpson+500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.15u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
59
Victor Scott+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
52
Juan Soto+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
51
Munetaka Murakami o26.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.17u
Bet365. Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
38
Tarik Skubal+400
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.4u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
51
Cristopher Sanchez+1200
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
49
Juan Soto+800
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.2u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
54
Gunnar Henderson+2250
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
46
Chase DeLauter+2500
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
52
Bubba Chandler+1400
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
56
Seattle Mariners+1300
2026 MLB World Series - To Win
0.25u
Final preseason team futures adds. Bet to +900 to fill out SEA portfolio. Every public projection (avg. +851) aside from BAT at 10% or higher on WS odds. Im at +623.
AL West odds best bet on the board still (make -399, public projections make -192, BAT lowest at 53% still +EV.
61
Atlanta Braves u88.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 88. Already on odds to miss playoffs and win total correllated with MIA/WSH overs and Mets division bet
36
Washington Nationals o64.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 65. Dropped too low from opener of 68 - correlated with Phils and Braves unders, keep smaller
40
Miami Marlins o72.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Adding - updated position now 1.5u. Bet to 75. Biggest win total Over edge. HOU biggest Under edge at 86.5 still (DK)
47
McGonigle+600
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.4u
HardRock. My updated projected favorite assuming he makes OD roster and if not will be back in 2 week. Bet to +400
Okamoto also +EV at this point with Yesavage down but still have him second; McGonigle projects better for WAR the only question was playing time
62
Wetherholt+600
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.25u
Bet to +350. Projection improves and becomes a slightly clearer favorite in my model with Griffin going down for seasoning. Some McLean prices +EV too but proj. Closer to +340; bigger edge and safer investment/lower injury risk on JJ
63
Shohei Ohtani+500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.2u
Apoligies for the incoming notifications - tracking all remaining player props.
I will note if the bet was a recent addition - most are from from my player prop stats article and awards article from late Feb / Early Mrch.
Bet to +450
22
Nick Kurtz+6600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.05u
Bet to +4500
14
Jose Ramirez+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.05u
Bet to +1600
27
Zac Gallen+6000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.05u
Bet to +5000
26
George Kirby+5000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.05u
Bet to +4000
16
Trey Yesavage+10000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.01u
Would not bet - Dead ticket after injury but tracking b/c in futures article
8
Jesus Luzardo+6600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.05u
Bet to +5000
12
Cristopher Sanchez+6000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.02u
RECENT ADDITION - bet to +6000
12
Jhoan Duran+1700
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Bet to +1300
26
Carlos Estevez+2000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.05u
Bet to +1750; urging caution with spring velo
20
Daniel Palencia+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Bet to +2000
28
Julio Rodriguez+1500
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
21
Yordan Alvarez+3500
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
25
Bryce Harper+5000
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.05u
20
Bryan Woo+2500
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
16
Dylan Cease+4000
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
19
George Kirby+4000
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
20
Logan Webb+200
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
19
Jesus Luzardo+4000
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
HardRock. NEWLY ADDED - i actually placed this and discussed this in my article but didnt track it in there or here. Bet to +2500
25
Carson Williams+6600
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
22
Jett Williams+5500
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.05u
21
Carson Benge+2500
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
HardRock
17
Juan Soto o35.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
21
Oneil Cruz o20.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
26
Elly De La Cruz o23.5-105
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
27
Cody Bellinger u23.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.17u
16
Jose Ramirez u28.5-105
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
14
Colson Montgomery u24.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
14
Ketel Marte u28.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
14
Eugenio Suarez u33.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
16
Alex Bregman u22.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.11u
15
Munetaka Murakami 30++140
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.15u
365
12
Kyle Tucker 30++124
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
365
16
Kyle Tucker 40++800
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
19
Fernando Tatis 30++145
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
365
18
Austin Riley 40++700
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
20
Julio Rodriguez 30++125
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
365
16
Julio Rodriguez 40++650
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.05u
20
Vladimir Guerrero 40++400
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
24
Ronald Acuna 40++550
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
24
Juan Soto 50++700
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.1u
21
Jo Adell 40++700
2026 MLB Regular Season - Player Home Runs Milestones
0.05u
17
Mason Miller+8000
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.02u
Added 4/10. Does not have to be a big bet but you need a ticket at this point bc we are reaching or exceeding 2003 Eric Gagne levels of dominance
129
Bobby Witt+320
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.5u
Added 6/4. Projected +225; bet to +250. Have Yordan ticket but project Witt to finish 2 WAR above him (current 0.7). Judge injury news very strange - first his shoulder now his ribs and has the permanent toe issue to boot. IL seems increasingly likely and don’t think he will be 100% ROS
48
Milwaukee Brewers+600
2026 MLB National League - To Win
0.33u
Bet to +500; think they can keep a bye but need Misiorowski and two of Harrison, Woodruff, Henderson healthy in October, so it's difficult to speculate 3 months out from the playoffs for larger stakes
66
Pete Crow-Armstrong+230
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.54u
Added 7/27. Projected +140. Bet to +150. Leading Ohtani by 1 WAR (both fWAR and bWAR), and Ohtani has 5 projected starts and 14-17 HR baked into his ROS numbers while rocking an 82 WRC+ in July on an injured knee. Freddie Freeman won a WS MVP on one leg, but I think Ohtani is still likelier to get shut down for a bit than hit either of those stat benchmarks
41
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.50u |
| Last 7 Days | 7-19-0 | 27% | -3.63u |
| Last 30 Days | 36-57-4 | 37% | -7.99u |
| All Time | 14551-15520-1094 | 47% | 114.69u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 7996-8493-813 | 46% | 133.74u |
| NFL | 1397-1189-45 | 53% | 38.88u |
| World Baseball Classic | 50-24-1 | 67% | 19.23u |
| UFC | 1486-2017-17 | 42% | 16.18u |
| WTA | 125-116-8 | 50% | 8.68u |
| Champions | 98-81-9 | 52% | 8.53u |
| World Cup | 35-42-3 | 44% | 7.69u |
| NBA | 526-477-13 | 52% | 7.48u |
| La Liga | 86-77-15 | 48% | 4.36u |
| European Championship | 18-14-2 | 53% | 2.38u |
| UFL | 6-5-0 | 55% | 1.78u |
| MENS_OLYMPIC_HOCKEY | 4-0-0 | 100% | 1.21u |
| Serie A | 116-107-19 | 48% | 0.89u |
| WNBA | 6-3-0 | 67% | 0.82u |
| Boxing | 2-2-0 | 50% | 0.10u |
| MLS | 47-39-16 | 46% | -0.22u |
| Europa League | 0-1-1 | 0% | -0.58u |
| Golf | 12-66-0 | 15% | -2.36u |
| NASCAR | 0-14-0 | 0% | -2.81u |
| Bundesliga | 111-115-20 | 45% | -3.11u |
| Premier League | 225-248-46 | 43% | -14.08u |
| ATP | 252-319-9 | 43% | -20.04u |
| NHL | 513-598-0 | 46% | -22.58u |
| NCAAB | 634-649-17 | 49% | -30.48u |
| NCAAF | 784-796-38 | 48% | -50.14u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I only remember the bad beats.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
In 2012, I bet Josh Hamilton (+4000) to finish as the MLB HR king. He hit 43 home runs, with his last coming on September 24th. Miguel Cabrera tied Hamilton on September 29th, and surpassed him on October 1st — with two games remaining in the season.