Sean Zerillo

Sean Zerillo
Baseball, MMA, Horse Racing
Role
Staff Writer
Experience
14 years
Location
New York
Total Bets
19.8K
Followers
78.7K

Sean Zerillo's Picks

Today
MIN +130
MIN
MIN Team Abbreviation@MIA Team Abbreviation
MIA
0.5u
10:40 PM
Bet to +123
210
21
Under 8.5+100
PHI
PHI Team Abbreviation@NYY Team Abbreviation
NYY
0.5u
11:05 PM
Bet to -110
208
17
Under 5.5 (F5)-144
PIT
PIT Team Abbreviation@BOS Team Abbreviation
BOS
0.72u
11:10 PM
Bet to -160 or 5 (-120) at DK
121
16
Under 9.5-125
PIT
PIT Team Abbreviation@BOS Team Abbreviation
BOS
0.5u
11:10 PM
Flat risk to -135 or to 9 (-114)
182
19
MIL +145
NYM
NYM Team Abbreviation@MIL Team Abbreviation
MIL
0.5u
11:40 PM
Bet to +135
205
21
STL -130 (F5)
ATL
ATL Team Abbreviation@STL Team Abbreviation
STL
0.65u
11:45 PM
Bet to -135
115
14
Pending
4-WAY PARLAY-108
0.54u
Atlanta Braves (Yes)-650
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
Houston Astros (Yes)-750
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
New York Yankees (Yes)-450
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
San Diego Padres (Yes)-480
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
31
12
DET +240
DET
DET Team Abbreviation@HOU Team Abbreviation
HOU
0.5u
04/05 12:10 AM
Bet to +220
204
21
Futures
St. Louis Blues+4000
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.25u
6
3
New York Islanders+4500
2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.25u
5
3
Carolina Hurricanes+650
2022-23 NHL Eastern Conference - To Win
0.5u
4
2
Calgary Flames+800
2022-23 NHL Western Conference - To Win
0.5u
4
2
Denver Nuggets+2000
2022-23 NBA Championship - To Win
0.5u
15
5
New Orleans Pelicans+400
2022-23 NBA Southwest Division - To Win
0.5u
6
6
Denver Nuggets+500
2022-23 NBA Western Conference - To Win
0.4u
MGM
6
4
Nikola Jokic+500
2022-23 NBA MVP
0.2u
FD
4
4
Oakland Athletics o57.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Superbook NJ. Bet to 59.5 My Projection: 62.7 Public Projection Range: 61 to 68.2
82
10
Detroit Tigers u70.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Superbook NJ. Bet to 70 My Projection: 66.8 Public Projection Range: 67 to 70.5
86
10
Chicago White Sox u83.5-103
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.03u
Bet to 80. Reduce risk at 81.5 or below. My Projection: 76.7 Public Projection Range: 79 to 79.2 Three different public projections have them at 79 wins. I’m lower
124
12
Philadelphia Phillies u89.5+100
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet365. Bet to 87.5. Reduce risk below 89.5 My Projection: 84.3 Public Projection Range: 86.3 to 89.5
133
9
Miami Marlins o74.5-114
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.57u
Bet to 75 My Projection: 78.3 Public Projection Range: 78 to 80.1
55
8
Seattle Mariners u88.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Superbook NJ. Need 88.5 or better My Projection: 85.4 Public Projection Range: 81.6 to 84 I am the high man on the Mariners, and every projection likes the Under. Sounds like last year….
67
8
New York Yankees+115
2023 MLB AL East - To Win
0.5u
Projected odds closer to -130. Bet to -106. Least favorite team 🤮
85
10
Cleveland Guardians+160
2023 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.5u
Superbook NJ. Projected odds closer to even money. Bet to +125. Also a slight edge on Twins +275 to +300 in the Central, but larger edge on Guards
101
6
Los Angeles Angels+1200
2023 MLB AL West - To Win
0.1u
FanGraphs + PECOTA at 12.8% and 13.9% respectively. Just to make sure my number wasn’t so far off the market. The market is just off here. This bet will lose but these odds are kind of crazy. Would play down to +900
64
7
Atlanta Braves+145
2023 MLB NL East - To Win
0.5u
Projected line around -115. Bet to +106. Second least favorite team 🤮
102
11
St. Louis Cardinals-110
2023 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.55u
Bet365. Projected line around -130. Need -110 or better. Third least favorite team 🤮
54
5
San Diego Padres+140
2023 MLB NL West - To Win
0.5u
Projected line around +115. Bet to +135
79
7
New York Yankees+375
2023 MLB American League - To Win
0.5u
Projected closer to +250. Bet to +325
88
11
Cleveland Guardians+2000
2023 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Bet to +1750
44
7
Atlanta Braves+500
2023 MLB National League - To Win
1u
Projected closer to +375. Bet to +440
93
10
San Diego Padres+550
2023 MLB National League - To Win
0.5u
Projected around +440. Bet to +500
89
10
St. Louis Cardinals+1200
2023 MLB National League - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Sprinkle at +1200 or better
49
5
Atlanta Braves+1000
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.5u
Projected around +775. Bet to +900
95
11
Cleveland Guardians+4000
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Projected around +2750. Bet to +3300.
63
9
Tampa Bay Rays+2500
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Projected +2200. Sprinkle at 25-1 or better
64
10
St. Louis Cardinals+2500
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Sprinkle at 25-1 or better
63
7
Kevin Gausman+2500
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
54
8
Cristian Javier+2600
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.15u
Favorite AL Cy Bet
95
10
George Kirby+8000
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
48
9
Triston McKenzie+4000
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
365 / FD
58
9
Shohei Ohtani+1200
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
58
8
Carlos Rodon+1200
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
365
50
6
Hunter Greene+8000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.05u
365
43
9
Aaron Nola+2000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.15u
Superbook. Favorite NL Cy bet
64
8
Spencer Strider+1200
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
57
7
Logan Webb+4000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
48
10
Zack Wheeler+1800
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
53
8
Julio Rodriguez+1000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.15u
Bet every year at this price
65
9
Yordan Alvarez+1400
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.2u
Favorite AL MVP when I bet this before spring started. Not as concerned as most about the hand - but would understand if you want to wait
65
8
Corey Seager+5000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
Bet365. Going to rake with no shift
52
9
Wander Franco+4000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
Superbook. Double the price of last year
50
10
Adley Rutschman+5000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
365
45
9
Juan Soto+600
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.5u
Superbook. Favorite NL MVP bet. Odds double what they were last year.
73
7
Mookie Betts+900
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
He wins it last year if he didn’t miss 20 games. Power improving
65
6
Ronald Acuna Jr.+1000
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
Bet every year at this price.
58
11
Anthony Volpe+2500
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.2u
Superbook. Favorite AL ROY bet when I placed it. They moved the # today. Would risk 0.1u now around +1600 to +1800 around the market.
53
8
Hunter Brown+1400
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
38
8
Grayson Rodriguez+1100
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
365
42
11
Logan O'Hoppe+2750
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.15u
Superbook. Bet at +3000 and +2500. Like this down to +1500 but would lower the risk to 0.1u.
43
7
Elly De La Cruz+2000
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Superbook
44
9
Andrew Painter+2500
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Superbook
35
10
Spencer Steer+2500
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
42
7
Ezequiel Tovar+1200
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Superbook
44
8
Jordan Walker+1000
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.15u
Favorite NL ROY bet at these odds. Has moved down to +850 (Pointsbet). Like it to +750 assuming he’s on the opening day roster
49
8
Clay Holmes+3300
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
365
39
6
Devin Williams+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
365
44
8
Pete Fairbanks+8000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
365
40
10
Jacob deGrom+1200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
44
8
Aaron Nola+1400
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
51
8
Hunter Greene+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
51
8
Cristian Javier+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
39
10
Carlos Rodon+1500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
39
8
Luis Castillo+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.05u
43
8
Luis Severino+7000
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
Finished 3rd in 2017, 9th in 2018 before the injuries. Finally healthy and projects far better than this pricetag
38
9
Luis Arraez+2200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.15u
Favorite hits leader bet. Marlins may try to jam him in the lineup everyday. Ranks second behind Tim Anderson in projected hits per PA, but Anderson is +1200.
61
7
Bo Bichette+1300
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
39
7
Amed Rosario+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
44
9
Jeff McNeil+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
39
8
Luis Robert+6600
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.05u
365. Projected 6th in hits per PA. Right behind Bichette. Injury risk more than built in here. Steal if he plays a whole season
37
7
Mookie Betts+1100
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.15u
Favorite Runs leader bet. First in average (per PA) and overall projected Runs
52
7
Freddie Freeman+1800
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Projected 2nd in total runs, 8th in avg per PA. Higher floor, lower ceiling - but the price is right. Would handicap Betts and Freddie as favorites ahead of Soto and Judge
37
6
Yordan Alvarez+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Allocating 0.75u across three player props and the MVP bet. If you want to wait b/c of the hand I get it / but the odds may start dipping when he picks up a bat. Threat to lead every offensive category if he’s healthy.
42
6
Julio Rodriguez+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Price has moved closer to +1500. Wouldn’t go much below that. Just assume going forward to bet J-Rod if we’re getting these prices on Runs Leader / HR Leader / MVP
35
6
Michael Harris II+7500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
My other favorite Runs leader bet. Projected 21st in runs scored. Betting on lineup spot variance. Could leadoff if Acuna misses time / could move to the 2 spot if he’s their second best hitter like last season
45
7
Yordan Alvarez+1000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.2u
Projected 1st in RBI per PA. 3rd in total RBI. Would set him as the favorite ahead of Alonso and Judge
67
9
Jose Ramirez+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Projected 4th in total RBI, 5th in avg per PA. Closer to 12th on the odds board
49
8
Matt Olson+1800
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Projected 6th in total RBI but correlation to my other Braves futures / Harris Runs leader
40
8
Giancarlo Stanton+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.05u
Projected 8th in RBI per PA. 37th in total RBI. Small investment on injury variance. Exact type of bet this process is meant to uncover
44
6
Manny Machado+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Projected 8th in total RBI. Tied for 13th on the odds board.
45
8
Yordan Alvarez+1200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.25u
Same # at Superbook. Projected 4th. Again, can wait on the hand here but assuming this closes +1000 or lower everywhere if he’s ready in a month
72
9
Mat Olsen+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Bet to +3000 (FD). Projected 8th in total HR. Listed 10th on the board at FD, 13th at SB
37
7
Giancarlo Stanton+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Projected 11th in HR per PA, 16th in total HR. Small bet on injury variance. Even if he’s washed can hit .200 with 45 HR and lead the league
37
6
Juan Soto+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Bet to +3500 (FD). Projected 15th in total HR and 51st in HR per PA. Still, this is the best category to spec on HOF talent. Projections didn’t support Vlad bets at the same prices in 2021 and we played those. 45+ HR season is coming at some point
48
6
Julio Rodriguez+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Bet to +4000 (CZR). Everything I said about Soto applies here - and JROD hits the ball harder
46
9
Cal Raleigh+20000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.02u
Would only bet this at 200-1. Oddly, Superbook at +4000 - they typically have the best # on HR leaders. Projected 18th in HR per PA. Elite power metrics while injured last season. If Raleigh gets enough DH at bats he can get to 40+.
44
8
Jazz Chisholm Jr.+2200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
365. Projected 2nd. Listed 12th on the odds board
58
7
Bubba Thompson+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
365. Projected 3rd. Listed 17th on the odds board
64
9
Dylan Moore+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
365. Projected 4th. Listed 18th on the odds board
46
8
Jon Berti+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Projected 5th in steals per PA. Top 4 are Thompson, Moore, Mondesi, Ruiz - 2 longshots I bet and 2 favorites I didn’t. Led the league last year. Wouldn’t go below +2000 here - more competition for ABs this season
39
8
Chicago White Sox u83.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Increasing position to win 1.5u
30
12
New York Yankees+120
2023 MLB AL East - To Win
0.25u
Increasing position to 0.75u
39
7
Cleveland Guardians+160
2023 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.25u
Superbook. Increasing position to 0.75u
34
5
Atlanta Braves+145
2023 MLB NL East - To Win
0.25u
Increasing position to 0.75u
32
5
San Diego Padres+140
2023 MLB NL West - To Win
0.25u
Increasing position to 0.75u
37
5
St. Louis Cardinals-115
2023 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.29u
Superbook. Incrasing position to 0.75u
32
5
Max Fried+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.15u
Projected wins leader / and also for the most starts on my top ranked team. Favorite bet in this category
43
7
Shane Bieber+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Superbook
31
6
Cristian Javier+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Superbook
37
6
Julio Urias+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
33
6
Framber Valdez+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
31
6
Kyle Schwarber+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.05u
43
10
Jake McCarthy+2400
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
44
8
Shohei Ohtani+1200
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
Bumping to 0.15u with all the AL spring injuries. Javier/Ohtani favorite AL Cy bets
38
10
Los Angeles Angels (Yes)+185
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
33
8
Minnesota Twins (Yes)+130
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
28
12
Past Performance
Yesterday6-6-146%
0.40u
Last 7 Days27-23-450%
2.67u
Last 30 Days67-69-448%
3.13u
All Time9341-9762-73647%
102.71u
Top Leagues
MLB4131-4431-48246%
124.62u
NFL1152-945-3854%
50.56u
UFC674-814-645%
18.18u
Champions98-81-952%
8.53u
WTA117-112-849%
7.71u
La Liga86-75-1549%
5.41u
World Cup20-32-138%
3.20u
European Championship17-14-153%
2.13u
XFL6-5-055%
1.78u
Serie A115-107-1948%
0.39u
WNBA5-3-063%
0.32u
MLS47-39-1646%
-0.22u
Europa League0-1-10%
-0.58u
Golf12-66-015%
-2.36u
NASCAR_CUP0-14-00%
-2.81u
Bundesliga109-115-2045%
-4.25u
NBA518-473-1352%
-5.24u
Premier League219-244-4643%
-15.01u
NHL509-576-047%
-15.23u
ATP233-303-943%
-21.01u
NCAAB594-596-1649%
-22.89u
NCAAF654-682-3648%
-49.27u

Summary

Sean provides MLB and MMA projections for the Action Network, using his own proprietary data models. He also provides digital content related to baseball, MMA, and horseracing across all platforms.

Sean started betting in 2007 - when he first learned about Wong teasers.

He previously followed a career path in the legal industry, but re-routed towards sports data and information in 2018.

Experience

Sean began contributing to Action in 2019, after working as a baseball video scout for Sports Info Solutions.

He previously worked in financial regulatory compliance, including stops at E-TRADE and RBC Capital Markets.

Education

Sean graduated from the University of Miami with degrees in Sports Administration and Philosophy.

He later attended Law School at Hofstra University, and passed the New York State Bar Exam in 2014.

Top Sportsbooks for Zerillo

Factors that matter most in choosing a sportsbook:

  • Best lines on things I like to bet,
  •  Easy to use app
  •  Desktop experience
  • High betting limit
  •  Unique offerings and bet types

Favorite Types of bets:  Straight bets, Parlays, Player props, Futures

 

Top 3 Sportsbooks Ranked with Pros/Cons:

1. FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel Pros

  • Competitive pricing.
  •  Make F5 lines for baseball available overnight. 
  • Higher limits than most.

FanDuel Cons

  • Need a more accessible layout. I have to click through/into too many individual game pages to find options that I want to be (ex. have to click on a game, then toggle to "1st Half" to find F5 lines)

Get more details about the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code and the good and bad about the sportsbook.

2. DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Pros

  • Best layout of the bunch. They put the entire menu for individual betting options on one screen so you don't have to click through into individual game pages, which is almost unique.

DraftKings Cons

  • Can often find matching or better prices elsewhere.

Join Zerillo–get the DraftKings promo code and learn the good and bad about the sportsbook.

 

3. WynnBET Sportsbook

WynnBET Pros

  • Typically has the best prices - especially for MLB - often matching the best prices, even offshore.

WynnBET Cons

  • F5 lines for MLB not available overnight. 
  • Similar UX issues to Fanduel and other books - have to click through too many game pages/menus to find the market I'm looking for.

Learn more about the WynnBET Promo code and if the app is available in your state.

On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I only remember the bad beats.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
In 2012, I bet Josh Hamilton (+4000) to finish as the MLB HR king. He hit 43 home runs, with his last coming on September 24th. Miguel Cabrera tied Hamilton on September 29th, and surpassed him on October 1st - with two games remaining in the season.
Specialties
  • Baseball
  • MMA
  • Horse Racing