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Sunday MLB Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: A Contrarian MLB Betting System, Algorithm Pick (Sept. 11)

Sunday MLB Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: A Contrarian MLB Betting System, Algorithm Pick (Sept. 11) article feature image
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Jamie Sabau/Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Musgrove

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Dodgers Odds -132
Padres Odds +112
Over/Under 8 (o -118 / u -104)
Date Sunday, September 11
Time 4:10 p.m. ET
Channel MLB.tv

*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning.

This Sunday matchup lines up with a historically-profitable system that has registered a 7% return on investment since 2005.

That’s seven cents in return for every dollar wagered over the past decade, on average.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the betting system over that timeframe, you’d be up about $18,850. That’s roughly $1,150 per year.

This algorithm has encompassed more than 2,500 MLB games since 2005 and has gone 1400-1163-120 (55%) over that timeframe. Substantial data sets like this one, of course, ensure statistical significance.

For reference, bettors must win about 52.4% of the time over the long run in order to make a profit on wagers at or around -110.

This line fades the public heavily, according to the Action Network’s proprietary tracking data. And that’s exactly what this betting trend factors in — totals that have been undervalued in the market by retail bettors.

We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regards to gains over a long time horizon.

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting System Pick