Miguel Andujar and Gleyber Torres. Credit: Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports
- Pro players split their Wednesday plays, going 1-1.
- Thursday, sharps are taking a somewhat contrarian side in the Yankees-Red Sox game.
- Wiseguys are also getting down on a contrarian total play at Citi Field.
Wiseguys split their two Wednesday plays, cashing the Cardinals (-135) but losing the Cubs-Pirates Under (8). The Cardinals were a perfect example of a favorite wiseguy spot: “Fading the Trendy Dog.” This means the public is loading up on the underdog, creating rare contrarian value on the favorite.
Since 2005, home teams getting 35% or fewer bets with at least 10 cents reverse line movement have gone 314-234 (57.3%), winning +27.4 units with a 5% ROI.
After analyzing Thursday’s 12-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed two MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.
>> All data as of 2:45 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettors would have to wager $115 to win $100.