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Artem Arutiunyan vs. Aleksei Yanshaev
- Arutiunyan: -180
- Yanshaev: +136
- 12 p.m. ET
This is perhaps my favorite pick yet.
Yesterday, I essentially became a table tennis stat wizard with my patented new "sets per match" and "opponent sets per match" metrics. We're going to be using those bad boys today to find what I believe is some serious value.
Arutiunyan
- Past 50: 31-19, 2.38 sets per match, opponent 1.88 sets per match,
- Since April 29th: 13-6, 2.53 SPM, 1.74 OPSM
Wow, this guy is pretty good! Over his past 50 matches, he's posted a record over .600 with a half a set gap over his opponents to boot. He's been even better over the past few days. Wow! Just, wow!
Yanshaev
- Past 50: 39-11, 2.66 sets per match, opponent 1.4 sets per match,
- Since April 29th: 13-3, 2.75 SPM, 1.00 OSPM
Hold the fort!
A .780 winning percenage over his past 50 matches!?! A 1.26 sets per match differential?!? And he's been even better than that over the past few days!!??!?!
Head-to-Head
- Arutiunyan 6-4 advantage, 23-19 set advantage
- No matches vs. each other since April 14
Here we see why Arutiunyan is favored. I mentioned this before, but the odds for these matches seem to weigh H2H results heavily.
But, what the oddsmakers seem to have overlooked is the fact that they haven't played each other in over two weeks, which in ping pong time might as well be a decade. They've each played dozens and dozens of matches in the interim, and Yanshaev has shown why he should be underdog to none.
I believe this match should be much closer to a pick em, with Yanshaev even getting the slight nod.
+136? Give me a gosh darn break, folks.
