Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/6: How to Bet Zack Greinke in His Astros Debut

Aug 06, 2019 01:10 PM EDT
Credit:

Troy Taormina, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Zack Greinke

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Tuesday's slate of games, including how to bet Rockies-Astros (8:10 p.m. ET) and Giants-Nationals (9:45 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

Zack Greinke will make his first start for the Houston Astros (73-40) on Tuesday. His new club paces the AL West by nine games, but they are essentially tied with the Yankees (73-39) for home-field advantage in the AL playoffs, so don’t expect the Astros to take their foot off of the gas pedal.

Greinke will debut at home in an interleague matchup against the Colorado Rockies (52-60), a team that he has already faced three times in 2019.

He typically pitches well against all NL West opponents, going 133-73 (64.6%, +27 units, 13.1% ROI) on the full-game moneyline, and his history against Colorado (13 wins – tied for most against any opponent; 5.59 K/BB – 3rd best amongst any opponent) should fill Greinke with confidence as he hopes to make a good first impression with the Astros.

START MY FREE TRIAL

UNLOCK THE ACTION EDGE

Become an Action EDGE member for more analysis and access to Sean Zerillo's MLB betting model for Tuesday's slate.

START MY FREE TRIALSTART MY FREE TRIAL

Already an EDGE member? Sign In

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Zerillo on Twitter
@SeanZerillo

Top Stories